Was the LD collapse all predicted in pre-election polls?
How would you feel if the election outcome was a coalition between the Tories and the Lib Dems (YouGov: May 1 2010) | All voters % | CON voters % | LD voters % |
---|---|---|---|
I would be delighted | 6 | 6 | 11 |
I would be dismayed | 51 | 34 | 43 |
I wouldn’t mind | 31 | 52 | |
Don’t know | 13 | 8 | 9 |
Is the amazing thing that the yellows are not doing worse?
Thanks to Peter Kellner for picking up this – a finding from the final YouGov poll for the Sunday Times before the general election last May.
Those sampled were asked about how they would react to a range of possible outcomes. The numbers from the one that actually came about are featured above.
Extraordinarily in view of what happened those LD voters who were “delighted” were out-numbers 4-1 by those who were “dismayed“.
It’s not just the Lib Dem views which are so out of kilter with the coalition that followed but the Tories as well.