Is this women going to be an MP on Friday? I’ve just laid Labour at 1.05 on Betfair – that’s a return of 20 times the money I’ve got at risk if they fail to do it. I think it’s a value bet. So what about you. What do you think will be the outcome on Thursday? Please use the quickies poll below and used the thread to post your predictions for posterity. PB, for those that didn’t know, is…
Barnsley General election result Party Votes % +/- Eric Illsley Labour 17487 47.3 -10.4 Christopher Wiggin Liberal Democrat 6394 17.3 -2 Piers Tempest Conservative 6388 17.3 2.5 Ian Sutton British National Party 3307 8.9 4.4 David Silver UK Independence Party 1727 4.7 4.7 Donald Wood Independent 732 2 2 Tony Devoy Independent 610 1.6 1.6 Terry Robinson Socialist Labour Party 356 1 1 And will Labour’s ratings continue to be untouched? Today at Southwark Crown Court the only sitting MP…
Is Watkins trying to do to Labour what Woolas did to him? One of the elements of September’s election court ruling on Phil Woolas was over the then Labour candidate’s claim that the Lib Dem was not telling the truth over “being a local”. Now, in the final couple of days of the campaign the yellow standard-bearer is trying to make an issue over the veracity of his Labour opponent’s claim to “be local”. In a leaflet he picks up…
Poll/publication Date CON % LAB % LD % ComRes/Independent (phone) 09/01/11 34 42 12 ComRes/IoS-S.Mirror(Online) 17/12/10 37 39 11 ComRes/Independent (Phone) 29/11/10 36 40 12 ComRes/Indy on Sunday (Online) 19/11/10 37 38 13 ComRes/Independent (Phone) 31/10/10 35 37 16 ComRes/Indy on Sunday (Online) 15/10/10 40 34 14 ComRes/Independent (Online) 01/10/10 39 36 15 ComRes/Indy on Sunday (Online) 16/09/10 37 35 15 ComRes/Independent (Phone) 05/09/10 38 34 18 ComRes/Mirror/GMTV (Phone) 15/08/10 39 33 15 ComRes/Independent (Phone) 08/08/10 39 33 16 ComRes/Independent…
Ged Wilmot/Saddleworth News Facebook page What can be done to get more people voting? As the Oldham East and Saddleworth by-election reaches fever pitch, I wanted to use my regular slot to rant about turnout. A truly fascinating subject, I am sure you agree! How many electors do we think will vote next week? Does it really matter if the turnout is low? And if it does, should we be doing anything about it? At the general election, turnout in…
Jack Straw addresses a meeting of one – Channel 4 Why are voters keeping it so close to their chests? A former Tory MP who has been doing extensive phone canvassing for the by-election told me on Friday of how difficult it was getting any response or indication from those he had contacted in the constituency. He’d made dozens of contacts but call after call ended in the same way. He put it all down to “northern reticence” and maybe…
Is this why by-election polling can be so challenging? When the three Old & Sad polls were coming out on Saturday evening an astute observer on UKPR wrote that we won’t really be able to compare these surveys against the actual result because the fact these three polls have been published could itself change people’s votes. That’s spot on and why all three parties were very jumpy as news of the numbers trickled out. The Labour strategy in the days…
David Cameron David Cameron “doing well/badly†(YouGov) All (Dec 17) CON voters LAB voters LD voters Well 47 (-2) 96 9 81 Badly 45 (+1) 4 87 16 Ed Miliband Ed Miliband “doing well/badly†(YouGov) All (Dec 17) CON voters LAB voters LD voters Well 28(-2) 12 59 22 Badly 49(+5) 67 26 60 Nick Clegg Nick Clegg “doing well/badly†(YouGov) All (Dec 17) CON voters LAB voters LD voters Well 30(nc) 61 6 80 Badly 60 (nc) 31 91…