How good is YouGov polling of Labour 56 days out? With David Miliband moving in the betting to being an 80% favourite perhaps we ought to reflect again on the ONLY poll of Labour and fee paying TU members who have been voting in this election. That survey closed 56 days before the end of voting. We’ve had nothing since and the Labour race of 2010 looks set to be the most under-polled leadership election of recent times. Even the…
Betfair Politics
Can they make him a proxy for Coulson? With Speaker Bercow announcing that there’ll be a debate tomorrow on the phone tapping allegations it’s worth noting the interesting take on the affair Telegraph by Labour’s former number director of political operations at Number 10, John McTernan. He writes: “..The problem is that the attack on Andy Coulson, Cameron’s communications chief and the tabloid’s former editor, is transparently party-political. This is perfectly justifiable in terms of the Westminster game – as…
Can they make him a proxy for Coulson? With Speaker Bercow announcing that there’ll be a debate tomorrow on the phone tapping allegations it’s worth noting the interesting take on the affair Telegraph by Labour’s former number director of political operations at Number 10, John McTernan. He writes: “..The problem is that the attack on Andy Coulson, Cameron’s communications chief and the tabloid’s former editor, is transparently party-political. This is perfectly justifiable in terms of the Westminster game – as…
Or will Parliament heed its Clerk? An interesting piece in the Guardian reports the evidence given by Malcolm Jack, Clerk of the House of Commons, to the Political & Constitutional Reform Committee. He has warned that the plan to introduce five-year Fixed-Term Parliaments (part of the Coalition Agreement) could force the courts to make judgements on “matters of acute political controversy, such as whether an election should be held”. The Clerk also attacked the failure to draft the legislation in…
Who will follow Hague, and when? Paddy Power have recently put up a new market on who will be the next permanent Foreign Secretary after William Hague. Though the story surrounding his hiring of Christopher Myers has largely died down, Fraser Nelson (Spectator editor writing for the NotW) has hinted that the personal cost of making the statement he released might cause him to step away from front line politics in the near future anyway. Nelson’s article is worth a…
It’s 38/34/18 The first non-YouGov poll for three weeks has a boost for the LDs and is showing a share very different from the online pollster’s recent daily polls. According to ComRes, the yellows are now on 18 per cent, up three points on the last survey from the firm. The Tories, on 38 per cent, are down one point while Labour, on 34 per cent, is up one. There are signs that men are more opposed than women to…