No change from ComRes, but 38% may change mind before voting

ComRes: ITV News/Independent	May 3	May 2
CONSERVATIVES	37%	37%
LABOUR	29%	29%
LIB DEMS	26%	26%

 

The press release from ITV News/The Independent says:

“This poll gives the Conservatives 294 seats – 32 short of an overall majority – Labour 251 seats and Liberal Democrats 74. These voting intention figures are identical to figures from ComRes yesterday – the first time during the election campaign that figures have remained unchanged. …ComRes also found that 71% of people say that they are certain to vote… 2.5 million people who are certain to vote say they are still undecided who to vote for… the poll found that more than a third of people admit they may change their mind about how they will vote on Thursday, with Liberal Democrat voters being more likely to switch.”

Double Carpet (Twitter:@electiongame)

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Harris: Metro	May 4	Apr 30
CONSERVATIVES	36%	33%
LABOUR	26%	24%
LIB DEMS	28%	32%

Update 22:30

Another poll is being reported as carried out by Harris for Metro.  I believe the most recent poll Harris has done was for the Daily Mail, which presumably accounts for the different ‘change’ figures from those being reported.  Either way, it’s very positive for the Conservatives and mildly disappointing for the Lib Dems – more for the drop than the absolute figure which remains strong (though it’s a measure of how expectations have changed that 26% can be realistically reported as disappointing).

David Herdson