MORI has Tories making progress in the marginals
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| MORI Marginals poll | 2005 | Apr 7 | Mar 22 |
|---|---|---|---|
| CONSERVATIVES | 31% | 38% | 37% |
| LABOUR | 45% | 41% | 41% |
| LIB DEMS | 17% | 11% | 11% |
| LAB to CON swing from 2005 | . | 5.5% | 5% |
There’s a new marginals poll from MORI for Reuters that has the Tories making a bit of progress on the last such survey a couple of weeks ago.
The poll ignores those seats where the Tories need a swing of less than 5% but focusses on those in the band up to 9%.
The critical numbers here are the change on what happened in the seats polled at the 2005 general election – and as can be seen the pollster has found a swing of 5.5% which compares with the 4% swing in the last national poll from the firm.
But without a new MORI national poll with which to compare it we cannot conclude that there is a differential – so this poll on its own tells us very little.
It’s all a bit pointless
Still the blues will regard this as progress.