Will we have to wait until Tuesday night? At the moment the big unknown is how this is all going down with the voters. The one certain element that Ms Pratt has added to the equation is that it has been made into a much bigger story. Is Labour being hurt or is Labour benefiting? We should see two new polls tonight – the monthly ICM survey for the Guardian and the YouGov daily survey for the Sun. Fieldwork for…
The Sun Is this a narrative-turning story? For Mr Cameron of Notting Hill it’s been a pretty bleak start to 2010. Nothing seems to have gone right as the Tories seemed to have moved from one gaffe to another. Fairly or unfairly the media narrative was about the party and his leadership and doubts had just started to seep in over the election outcome. But how things have changed in the past 24 hours. The publication of Andrew Rawnsley’s book…
Continuation thread Please do not make defamatory comments about Ms Pratt. Mike Smithson
Does Rawnsley add to the case against the UNS? Tucked away in the Observer print edition of the Rawnsley book there are a couple of revealing passages which underline the case we’ve been making strongly on PB over the past fortnight on the Uniform National Swing – the simple way of estimating what given poll numbers mean in terms of commons seats at the election. On September 22nd 2007 Brown and his aides received a presentation on a marginals poll…
CON 38% (40) LAB 30% (29) LD 20% (21) And is Labour winning the Muslim vote? There’s a new ComRes poll which was taken on Tuesday and Wednesday shortly after the Gordon Brown TV extravaganza on ITV. It’s been commissioned by the think-tank, Theos, which as well as finding out about voting intentions also looks at the question of religious beliefs and the coming general election. The headline voting intentions are broadly in line with the pattern that we see…
Twitter The Observer front page
“..Sir Gus O’Donnell, the cabinet secretary, became so alarmed by the prime minister’s behaviour that he launched his own investigations when he received reports of Brown’s bullying of staff. O’Donnell then gave the prime minister a stern “pep talk†and ordered him to change his behaviour. “This is no way to get things done,†he told Brown. The revelation that the prime minister’s behaviour was so extreme that it triggered a warning from Whitehall’s most powerful official will shock the…
CON 39% (39) LAB 33% (32) LD 17%(18) The Tories remain stable as the Labour share grows? If it’s Saturday it must be poll night and I’m aware of two that we could see in tomorrow’s papers and possibly a third. First up is YouGov’s daily poll which initially is running in the Tuesday to Friday editions of the Sun and the Sunday Times stepping up to seven days a week when the election is declared. An hour or so…