CON 38% (38)
LAB 32% (32)
LD 19%(17)

Only the LDs show any change

Here’s the latest YouGov daily poll for tomorrow’s Sun where the fieldwork ended at 5pm this evening. Again the numbers are very stable with the bullying/ “forces of hell” narrative seemingly having no impact on the LAB-CON position.

The main interest from the pollster today has been in their latest dataset which apparently points to a big change in their party ID weightings. Instead of one Labour segment we now have what’s described as “Labour Loyal” and “Labour Disloyal”.

I’ve asked Peter Kellner for some comment on this which I’ll publish when I get it.

Off on a short holiday. We’re off to Dorset for a few days and won’t be back until Monday evening. There are a few guest slots planned, including Roger’s guide to the Oscars, and, others will be making contributions. We do have WiFi at our seaside cottage but I’m trying to get a good rest from PB in preparation for the coming campaign. Back to normal on Tuesday morning.

Mike Smithson