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Month: August 2009

How good are these ICM polling numbers for Mandy?

How good are these ICM polling numbers for Mandy?

Sunday Mirror Could he in fact turn some voters off his party? In its coverage of its ICM poll this morning the Sunday Mirror makes the findings about the public’s view of Peter Mandelson the main feature. Those surveyed were asked who they thought “would be best to lead Labour if Mr Brown stood down”. Amongst all voters it was David Miliband on 27%, Jack Straw on 26%, Alas Johnson 15% and Peter Mandelson on 14%. But amongst those voting…

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UPDATE: Conflicting trends from ICM and YouGov

UPDATE: Conflicting trends from ICM and YouGov

CON 43(+2)) LAB 26 (-1) LD 19(-1) But the changes are all within the margin of error The poll shares above are compared with the past ICM poll which was completed on July 11th and in the Guardian a couple of days later. Although the changes are small and all within the margin of error they will provide a little bit of a boost to Team Cameron and add to the gloom at Brown Central. I’m coming to the view…

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Have Labour and Burnham screwed up the Hannan opportunity?

Have Labour and Burnham screwed up the Hannan opportunity?

Why did they fail to capitalise on the Tory-Hannan open goal? The events of the past couple of days have underlined what is becoming increasingly apparent: Labour never misses an opportunity to miss an opportunity. I’ve been trying to do a piece on this them but have just discovered the Soho Politico blog which is making all the points I was trying to write but only better. “Labour should have just sat back and watched the reaction to Hannan from…

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Could this new party affect voting in university areas?

Could this new party affect voting in university areas?

Can they repeat their Swedish successes here? I’ve written before about the Piratpartiet in Sweden, but this week saw the announcement that the Electoral Commission has added to its register of political parties in Great Britain “The Pirate Party UK”. For those not aware, this is an offshoot of the Pirate Party International which aims to reduce the burdens of onerous copyright restrictions (essentially supporting filesharing and reducing duration of copyright), combat the surveillance state, and support freedom of speech….

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The NHS: Who really, really, really cares most?

The NHS: Who really, really, really cares most?

Isn’t this all getting a bit ridiculous? At last the weekend but I fear that we won’t see the end of the “we care most about the NHS” race amongst British politicians. Cameron, back from holiday, was fast off the mark slamming the comments by Tory MEP Daniel Hannan and, of course, arranging suitable photo ops of him with smiling and apparently enthusiastic nurses. Meanwhile with their leader, Gordon Brown, still on holiday in the Lake District it was left…

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In spite of last night are Anne’s days numbered?

In spite of last night are Anne’s days numbered?

St Albans Review Will Dave dare risk losing the seat to the LDs? It’s been a tough return from vacation for David Cameron. For as well as the Hannan business to contend with he’s also got Anne Main. The immediate response of Ladbrokes to last night’s controversial decision by St. Albans Conservatives not to de-select their MP was to make the Lib Dem the 2/1 second favourite in the seat. On the face of it that’s a very tight price…

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Is Daniel Hannan giving traction to a Gordon recovery?

Is Daniel Hannan giving traction to a Gordon recovery?

How dangerous for the Tories are his US comments on the NHS? It is no accident that in his first act following his return from holiday that David Cameron has emailed party supporters with a strong defence of the NHS. For he more than anybody realises that what is central to decontaminating the Tory brand is to get his party fully behind the health service. In speech after speech Cameron has stressed that the NHS is safe in Tory hands…

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