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Month: February 2009

MORI has the Tories heading towards 50% again

MORI has the Tories heading towards 50% again

CONSERVATIVES 48% (+4) LABOUR 28% (-2) LIB DEMS 17% (nc) …and Labour are back in the 20s? The latest MORI poll, just out, has some quite dramatic changes with the Tories now up to 48% – twenty points ahead of Labour who are on 28%. Downing Street might just take some comfort that this is not quite as bad for Brown as last September when MORI had the Tories on 52% with Labour down on 24%. Clearly the past week…

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Is Alan emerging as the “obvious” choice?

Is Alan emerging as the “obvious” choice?

Could a Johnson-led party contain more of the losses? One of the great pieces of wisdom about party leadership betting is that Labour and the Lib Dems always seem to end up with the obvious candidate while being the Conservative front-runner is the “kiss of death”. So what are we to make of the recent suggestions in several quarters about Alan Johnson’s chances? Hardly a day goes by at the moment without one pundit or another pondering over whether an…

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Is this man trying to destroy UK blogging?

Is this man trying to destroy UK blogging?

PB could be under threat if he succeeds A couple of years ago the Labour PPC for Chelsea and the man who founded LabourHome, Alex Hilton, set up a company with Paul Staines (Guido) to develop the advertising potential of political blogs. It took a bit of time to get going but now the firm, MessageSpace, is producing significant revenue that is under-pinning dozens of different sites. For Politicalbetting this has been a godsend – and the prospect of regular…

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Tory spreads move back to the previous high

Tory spreads move back to the previous high

PB’s “The Money Says” Index : CON MAJ 56 (+2) We’ve barely mentioned the commons seat spread betting markers over the past two or three weeks because there’s been hardly any movement. But I do like to do an article every two to three weeks if only as a matter of record. The day has seen a bit of a change following since the weekend YouGov and ComRes polls. Now the Tory buy level on both main markets – from…

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Is a global role for Gord just Labour wishful thinking?

Is a global role for Gord just Labour wishful thinking?

guardian.co.uk What do we think of the Brown lifeboat rumour? One good measure of how badly things are going for a leader is when apparent loyal supporters spend their time trying to work out how their person can be got out of the way painlessly leaving them some dignity. Last summer, at the bottom of Brown Slump I, a story was going round of a possible global role for Brown in Africa funded by the Gates Foundation with Bill Clinton…

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