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Month: October 2008

Is today’s move going to help or hinder Labour?

Is today’s move going to help or hinder Labour?

Now the battle moves on to who will get the blame? On what the BBC business editor, Robert Peston, is calling “Momentous Monday” the FTSE 100 has moved up more than 100 points as the City digests the news that RBS is now 60% owned by the government with a 40% share being held in the newly merging Lloyds and HBOS. As part of the deal the chief executives and chairmen of both RBS and HBOS are resigning and Peston…

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So will today be better than Friday?

So will today be better than Friday?

Welcome to the brave new world of nationalised banking After the most dreadful few days on the markets last week it will be back to business this morning though with a huge difference – large sections of the UK banking industry will now find that the government is the biggest shareholder and that they’ve got much more capital to play with. The details, as I write, are sketchy and a formal announcement is expected this morning – but the papers…

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Amid the turmoil, Canada heads for another hung Parliament

Amid the turmoil, Canada heads for another hung Parliament

Wikimedia Commons Jack Peterson looks at the world’s ninth-largest economy ahead of Tuesday’s election On Monday September 29, as the campaign reached its halfway point, Conservative PM Stephen Harper had reason to be satisfied with his party’s progress towards a majority government. A slew of negative advertisements had succeeded in portraying Liberal leader Stéphane Dion as a weak and indecisive figure, whose flagship Green Shift tax plan posed a threat to economic growth and national unity. As Conservative poll numbers…

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Cashing in on the media narrative change to Labour

Cashing in on the media narrative change to Labour

Should you now become a Labour buyer? There have been big moves during the day on the spread-betting markets where punters with deep pockets buy and sell the number of seats each of the parties will get at the next election. The spreads at 2pm BST are featured above. Just ten days ago a buyer of Tory seats would have had to go in at the 356 level. That’s now down on one market to 344 seats. I decided to…

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Are we being prepared for Gord’s retirement?

Are we being prepared for Gord’s retirement?

Would his failing eyesight be the reason? In the early of this morning the poster Diogenes linked to the above story and asked the questions “Is this significant? Is it a potential route to a graceful early retirement?” I’ve been thinking about it hard for the past few hours and believe that he might be onto something. Certainly it would be a valid reason for him to go and certainly it would explain the very clear change in his whole…

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Labour get “global collapse” boost

Labour get “global collapse” boost

But the Tories are still well above 40% As expected Gordon Brown personally and Labour have received a poll boost in the wake of the global financial crisis. The figures from the latest survey in the Sunday Times with comparisons on the last poll from the firm are: CON 43%(-2): LAB 33%(+2): LD14%(-1) As ever we have the usual problem of the paper comparing not with the last published poll from the firm but from the last survey that it…

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What will it take to beat Obama now?

What will it take to beat Obama now?

Which events could turn the tide this late in the game? On Thursday night, I recorded another 10-minute slot for ‘Inside City Hall’ on NY1 (the Time Warner Cable news channel for New York). To the astonishment of the host, Dominic Carter, I mentioned an InTrade market that assesses the likelihood of an Israeli or US attack on Iran. Though I don’t play this market myself (I actually find it in rather poor taste), I suggested that such a significant…

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Is this the key moment of the campaign?

Is this the key moment of the campaign?

click on the panel to watch Will voters look at McCain differently after standing up to the crowd? Just watch the video above and you’ll see what I believe is a key moment of the campaign and one that will raise respect for John McCain in many quarters irrespective of whether he wins or loses. There’s a good account of it here, as well, on the Time magazine blog. Facing a crowd who were overwhelming hostile to the black Senator…

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