The information over-load continues
With Thursday’s London Mayoral election seemingly on a knife-edge every little scrap of information could be helpful to those who are having a punt.
The Sunday Times’s pollster, MRUK, is being particularly helpful and their Ivor Knox has just emailed me some information that I thought I ought to pass on.
The main point is that the more you narrow the voting base the figures move towards the Tory. Just like the MORI poll MRUK found an increase in those saying they were 10/10 certain. This was 64% of the weighted sample.
Knox adds this point: “However, I should reiterate that the questions and structure of this survey were not designed to measure turnout â€“ they show the claimed turnout among people who are sufficiently engaged in the process to voluntarily take part in a survey, which is very likely to be higher than the actual turnout next week.”
I think that that is very fair but make of all of this what you will. With a bit of luck there should be a YouGov poll tomorrow.
The betting prices at 10.20 am were Boris 0.75/1 and Ken 1.32/1.