Few market moves as punters consider the impact of Rover

Projected vote shares: LAB 36.5 (+0.25): CON 34.5 (-0.25) : LS 21.3 (+0.3)

Projected Election Outcome LAB majority 72 seats (+4)

The four new polls this morning, particuarly the one from ICM showing Labour’s lead over the Tories at a higher level than four years ago, has led to upward movement in the seat numbers market and an increase of four in the procted Labour majority. But it has had almost no impact on the projected vote shares. Just to note that the bookmakers are operating all UK figures while the polling firms exclude Northern Ireland. Last time Labour’s GB total was 1.3% ahead, the Tory party was 1% and the LDs were half a per cent greater than the all-UK totals.

Our regular BALANCE OF MONEY predictions are based on how spread betting gamblers are investing their money on all the main UK markets from Spreadfair, IG Index, and Sporting Index.

More seat markets come on stream. There are now online bettings markets on nearly 100 seats and more are being added daily. For the most comprehensive round-up click here.

A full round-up of all General Election Betting is available here

Mike Smithson