Punters continue to make Clinton a 60%+ chance even though the polling remains very tight
Clinton recovering a bit in latest national polls but this battle is still very tight.
On Monday it's the 1st debate pic.twitter.com/7AXiPfEwOE— Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) September 23, 2016
Latest Betfair Exchange WH2016 prices pic.twitter.com/q6lUDmgcfJ
— Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) September 23, 2016
Just three days to go before the first WH2016 debate
This is, of course, all about the outcomes in the key swing states but the national surveys gives us a good overview of the election that takes place in just 46 days time.
The betting remains remarkably static and Hillary’s 9/11 incident seems to have worked its way out of the system.
Trump is dominant amongst white working class men while Clinton has the edge with women, non-white and those who went to college. The demographic splits have a BREXIT look about them.
Its a cliche to say it’ll all be about turnout which is what happened in the UK on June 23rd. The segments with a history of low participation voted in greater numbers than many forecast.
My betting remains on Trump because I think there is more potential for his price to tighten. Whether I stick with that I don’t know.