Before we get off the subject of certainties….
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Remember the most famous front page in political journalism
As we contemplate how certain we are about an Obama victory next Tuesday perhaps we ought to remind ourselves of the dangers of jumping the gun.
The picture is, of course, the famous one of Harry Truman on the morning in 1948 when he was re-elected president, holding up a copy of that day’s Chicago paper with the headline completely wrong.
Truman won an emphatic victory of 303-189 in electoral college vote terms but the headline was not all that off its target. For if just a few thousand voters in Ohio, Illinois, and California had gone the other way then Dewey would have won.
Mike Smithson