New ICM poll has the lead down to just six
ICM
| ICM News of the World | Mar 19 | Mar 14 |
|---|---|---|
| CONSERVATIVES | 38% | 40% |
| LABOUR | 32% | 31% |
| LIB DEMS | 19% | 20% |
| LAB to CON swing from 2005 | 4.5% | 6% |
Does this make NOM more likely?
A new News of the World ICM poll brings bad news for the Tories after what appeared to have been a very good week for them. The moves, all within the margin of error, has the gap down top just six points.
Both the Tories and Labour are at levels that we’ve not seen for a long time with ICM – the pollsters that’s regarded by many as the “gold standard”.
This is bound, surely to have an effect on the markets.
I had been saying that if ICM got to this sort of level then I would start to be convinced that a hung parliament was a likely outcome. Time to sell the Tories and buy Labour I suggest.