The fundamentals and history still favour Trump and punters agree

15/10/2024 TSE Comments 0 Comment

Our analysis shows candidate ahead on key issue wins 85% of the time.

So available data suggests coin toss but it does seem like fundamentals (& low Biden approvals) favour Trump. Especially if you add history of polling misses in blue wall.

So yeah ????
— Keiran Pedley (@keiranpedley) October 13, 2024

I think there’s some value in backing Harris at these prices as this is still a 50/50 race, we shall find out in twenty one days.

TSE

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