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Unique all female sample IndyRef poll finds 20% lead for NO

August 14th, 2014

The front page of Thursday’s Daily Record is dominated by a new Survation poll confined to Scottish women only. This is the first time such a survey has been carried out and the figures, after the exclusion of the don’t knows, show a 20% NO lead.

Because the poll is unique we have little to compare it with apart from the gender splits in previous Survation polls.

It has been clear for sometime that the biggest hurdle for those campaigning for Scottish independence has been women who have generally been much more negative about the change than men.

My reaction on looking at the raw numbers is that this isn’t quite as bad as it might have been for YES. But still the message comes over strong as can be seen by the way the paper is treating it.

The part of the poll which the Record is highlighting are the views of the sample of Salmond, Sturgeon and Darling who is leading “Better Together”. 55% described the First Minister as arrogant compared with 31% for Darling.

Although the notion of a women only poll is interesting it would have been good to have some male data as well for comparison. Whatever an interesting survey from the innovative Survation firm and more bad news for YES.

Mike Smithson

2004-2014: The view from OUTSIDE the Westminster bubble