The 25-1 on Danny Alexander being LD leader at GE 2015 is good value bet

May 15th, 2014

Clegg’s going to stay but if he doesn’t Alexander’s well positioned

Just a week to go and lots of talk about whether all the party leaders will survive.

For the Lib Dems I like the 25/1 that Paddy Power is offering on Danny Alexander to be leader at the election. He’s positioned himself well as the continuity candidate and would, I think, get the backing of party grandees.

Alexander has been a key member of the so called “quad” for the past four years and in the unlikely event of a vacancy would have a strong case.

A small bet at 25/1 is a good punt.

A leadership election while the party was still in coalition would be a totally different thing from one post-election.

For the front-runner, Tim Farron, the leadership vacancy needs to come up later rather than earlier.

Mike Smithson

2004-2014: The view from OUTSIDE the Westminster bubble