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Why Scottish LAB voters hold the key to their country’s future

January 29th, 2014

On Sunday we reported on the ICM poll in Scotland on September’s IndyRef which had the gap narrowing sharply. On one measure those who wanted independence were just 6% behind.

Now I’ve had a chance to look at the detail and the above findings stand out – whether voters mght change their mind broken down by which party they supported in the 2011 Holyrood elections.

On the voting question LAB voters from 2011 split 28% YES to 72%. LDs were 26-74 against while Scottish Tories were 6% to 94%.

The second question about certainty and the possibility that minds could be changed highlights the key battleground – the very large number of 2011 SLAB voters who are not totally committed to either side and say they might change their minds.

Mike Smithson

2004-2014: The view from OUTSIDE the Westminster bubble