Populus : BJ 46, KL 34, JJ 6, BP 5, SB 5, LW 3, CC 1; 2nd round BJ 56 KL 44 — Mike Smithson (@MikeSmithsonOGH) April 30, 2012 Lib Dem gen elec voters split their votes evenly, 49 per cent for Mr Johnson, 51 per cent for Mr Livingstone across both rounds — Sam Coates Times (@SamCoatesTimes) April 30, 2012 ComRes/ITV News: Hunt should resign say 49% to 16% ht.ly/aBLme — Andrew Hawkins (@Andrew_ComRes) April 30, 2012 So far…
Cameron going the extra mile for Jeremy Hunt, loading ever more on #Leveson buys time, but may not pay off in the long run. — adamboulton (@adamboultonSKY) April 30, 2012 Cam line of giving everyone a chance, “It’s called natural justice”, was exactly same line he used during Fox hunt. — Paul Waugh (@paulwaugh) April 30, 2012 PM just can’t help flashing the Flashman at Skinner. Yet another jibe re his pensionable age. PM allies think Skinner deserves every word…
Could he just squeeze in? The latest YouGov London poll for the Evening Standard is just out and has Boris only 3% ahead on first preferences. That margin is what the US media would call a “statistical dead heat”. Clearly, if YouGov have got this right, this battle is far closer than the other pollsters who’ve been covering it are making out. Before the weekend ComRes had a Boris 1st preference lead of 9% with Survation recording 11.2%. Hopefully they’ll…
Could the reds win more than the initial 700 seat projection? There’s a new Survation poll out in the Daily Mirror which has both Westminster and local election voting intention for this Thursday. The national numbers are CON 30% nc/LAB 37%+2/LD 13%+2/UKIP 9%-1 with comparisons on the firm’s poll a fortnight ago for the Mail on Sunday. For the locals Survation has with comparisons on the 2008 national equivalent votes shares when most of these sears were last fought CON…
If you would like to purchase one of Marf’s prints, please contact her at marfcartoons@btinternet.com From tomorrow’s papers Guardian: Bin Laden’s links to Taliban revealed – also P&O cruise staff ‘paid 75p an hour’ #tomorrowspaperstoday twitter.com/hendopolis/sta… — Neil Henderson (@hendopolis) April 29, 2012 Express front: Flood chaos to sat all week #tomorrowspaperstoday twitter.com/hendopolis/sta… — Neil Henderson (@hendopolis) April 29, 2012 FT: Cameron faces critical test #tomorrowspaperstoday twitter.com/hendopolis/sta… — Neil Henderson (@hendopolis) April 29, 2012 Eurozone crisis has a long way…
Betfair Politics Don’t ignore YouGov’s great record in Mayoral elections With the last two Mayoral polls showing first preference leads of 9% and 11.2% for Boris it’s hardly surprising that on this final weekend the money has been going on the incumbent. I’m being a tad more cautious. YouGov’s final polls in both 2004 and 2008 got it correct to within 1% and there should be a new survey out tomorrow. Remember that four years ago the other pollsters had…
Is this not just a setback but a long-term nightmare? The weekly YouGov leadership ratings for David Cameron are out and add further to trend we’ve seen since the budget. He’s gone from a neutral 46% Well 47% Badly at the end of January to 32% Well 63% Badly this morning. Writing in the Sunday Times YouGov’s Peter Kellner observes that “Only Gordon Brown can match such a collapse in popularity, when he scrapped plans to hold a snap election…
What are the Sunday going to report? This is the Observer front page. The Indy on Sunday look pretty bad for Hunt. See here – “Hunt on the brink as he is accused of misleading Parliament” The Mail on Sunday steers clear of Hunt on its front page. The Telegraph. @MikeSmithsonOGH