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But no voting intention numbers There’s a new ComRes poll in the Sindy and Sunday Mirror which the former is splashing on its front page. There are, apparently no voting intention questions and I assume that the firm will have followed its usual practice of not past vote weighting non-VI surveys. As can be expected the numbers don’t look good for the blue team and some appear on the Sindy’s front page above. The big change has been in perceptions…

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Betfair Politics Can we expect his successor to be a comprehensive boy/girl? There’s been a bit of movement on the Betfair next Tory leader market for David Davis who is now second favourite. There is almost no liquidity in the betting and in betting terms this doesn’t mean very much. It does however provide a peg to raise the question about what the next Tory leader’s background will be and here I make a prediction – for like David Davis…

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Betfair Politics Should I cash out now? Here’s a betting conundrum. Over the months I’ve been trading on the Betfair Republican nominee market and am set to win a four figure sum if Mitt Romney makes it. If he doesn’t then I don’t lose a thing though my winnings on Santorum, Paul or Gingrich would be only about £100. Given the ability to back and lay on Betfair I could cash in my entire Romney position now and ensure that,…

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What if LAB fails to win back city hall as well? No quibbling – Bradford West was a disaster for both LAB and its leader. To fall so far back with real voters in a real election after a period when the coalition has been on the back foot is hard to excuse. Much is being made of the size of the Asian communities within the constituency – but according to the 2001 census 43% are Asian, and 52.6% are…

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Candidate Party Votes cast % share % change   George Galloway RESPECT 18341 55.9 +52.8   Imran Hussain LAB 8201 25 -20.3   Jackie Whiteley CON 2746 8.4 -22.7   Jeanette Sunderland LD 1505 4.6 -7.1   Sonja McNally UKIP 1085 3.3 +1.3   Dawud Islam Green 481 1.5 -0.8 Was for many this about giving LAB a bloody nose? Just looking at the numbers compared with the general election and it’s clear that there was a huge anti-LAB tactical…

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By the Grace of God we have won the most sensational victory in British political history. — George Galloway (@georgegalloway) March 29, 2012 This is what I wrote here on March 7th – just three weeks ago:- “..Could Bradford West break the pattern of LAB holds with a much reduced turnout? Could this be the ideal seat for the return to Westminster of the controversial Celebrity Big Brother star and ex-LAB and ex-RESPECT MP, George Galloway? Ladbrokes have just announced…

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Are many being tempted by elected mayors/police commissioners? The news tonight that ex-LAB chief secretary of the treasury (him of the “there’s no money left” fame) Liam Byrne is quitting the shadow cabinet is an indicator of a big new trend in British politics. For over the next year maybe 30 high-salaried powerful jobs as elected mayors and policy commissioners will be up for grabs and by all accounts many MPs are interested. In May we have elections for the…

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