Why the scales are so tilted in Labour’s favour? In spite of the aftermath of the Iraq War, a sharp decline in personal popularity for Tony Blair, and poll ratings for Labour that are 10-15% below where they were at this stage before the last General Election, we continue to CALL LABOUR for the General Election. At the heart of this is the UK’s electoral geography and this is going to play a huge part as we approach polling day…
But the bookies undercut Betfair in the big political markets Let’s hope that more than a few Politicalbetting.com users were able to take advantage of the Bet365 UK General Election seat price market yesterday which one reader described as “absurd”. As we pointed out in the Monday Call, the prices were completely out of alignment with what other bookmakers and the betting exchanges were doing and, indeed with what they themselves were offering in the main General Election market. The…
Big New General Election Profit Opportunities The biggest betting opportunity this week comes from the online bookmaker Bet365 which has opened three new General Election markets at prices that are out of alignment with what is available elsewhere and, indeed, what it is itself offering in other markets. Just compare their prices with the current Commons seats spread betting prices – which we believe represent a fair current reflection of what is likely to happen – Tony Blair to be…
Can Labour hold on? Can the Tories show that they are on the way back? Can the Lib Dems jump from third to first? When will the betting markets open? This weekend huge numbers of Tory, Lib Dem and Labour party activists from all over the country will be heading for Leicester South where the parliamentary by-election has been set for July 15. Michael Howard has already become a frequent visitor. This will be a tough three-way fight and the…
Blair staying at 1.53 looks good value After yesterday’s move by William Hill to offer the best price on Labour for the General Election the bookmaker is beating the betting exchanges in another key General Election market – whether Tony Blair will be Labour leader on election day.? The mood has moved back to Blair in recent weeks and this has been reinforced by comments from Gordon Brown that the Prime Minister would stay until the Euro referendum at the…
….but Labour spread range hardens Moves against Labour on the General Election markets have seen the price go to 1.4 with William Hill, which has almost certainly got the biggest book and reflects money going on the Tories. This is the best value on Labour for a very long time and now might be the time to bet. To underline the value of this price punters should note that of the £306,000 that’s been matched on Labour in the Betfair…
Neil Kinnock: Sheffield Rally: 1992 General Election Labour bias +6.5% IGNORE; UKIP bias +4.9% PROTEST For nearly a decade and a half the opinion polls have had, when tested against real General Election results, an average pro-Labour bias of 6.5% and there’s been hardly a whisper from Labour MPs. The bias led to political gamblers making huge errors and losses at the 1992 General Election in which Neil Kinnock, above, made what amounted to a pre-election victory speech a few…
It’s down to Bush’s lack of popularity Four years ago we backed George W. Bush at substantially better than evens to win the 2000 White House race because we felt that he had more voter appeal to many Americans than Al Gore. As it turned out we should have lost that bet but we didn’t. Now comes the opportunity to bet on him again but we are not sticking with Bush for the same reason – we do not think…