Is it Darkest before the Dawn? A look at the battle for the House of Representatives in 2018.

Is it Darkest before the Dawn? A look at the battle for the House of Representatives in 2018.

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Qua  A guest slot by RKRKRK on prospects for the next big US elections The Democrats are reeling from an unexpected and disastrous election defeat. They are at a low ebb in Congress. Nancy Pelosi is an aging figure with an underwater approval rating. There seems to be a near-total absence of young talent in senior leadership positions for the Democratic Party. Republicans are free to gerrymander districts in most of the country. The situation certainly looks bleak- but is…

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The Tories must be hoping that the newly created elected mayoralties will lead to some CON victories

The Tories must be hoping that the newly created elected mayoralties will lead to some CON victories

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The blues are badly represented in this government tier When Zac Goldsmith failed in his effort to become London mayor in May the total number of these posts held by the Tories was reduced to just one – Torbay. This is an electoral segment where the party has struggled and even at its peak only held three of them. A big reason, of course is that they’ve tended to be set up in towns and cities where the Tories have…

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What’s missing this Christmas is any sign of peace and goodwill between LEAVE and REMAIN

What’s missing this Christmas is any sign of peace and goodwill between LEAVE and REMAIN

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Alastair Meeks on “The Remains of the Day” It’s coming up to six months since the referendum and there doesn’t seem to be much sign of peace or goodwill in the Christmas period between Remain and Leave.  Remain-supporting newspaper op-ed writers vituperate the behaviour of Leavers.   Leave-supporting newspaper op-ed writers screech at the perfidy of Remainers.  On Twitter, the Brexit debate has become egg-bound. Nor is this confined to the empty vessels making the most noise.  Opinion polls consistently show…

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It’s not just Manchester where there’ll be 2017 directly elections for the mayors of newly created combined authorities

It’s not just Manchester where there’ll be 2017 directly elections for the mayors of newly created combined authorities

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The Osborne restructuring plan comes into effect On May 4th there’ll be huge wave of new elections for the newly created combined mayors in the place listed above. Electors in large parts of England will have their chance to vote for these new positions which have been created largely because of George Osborne. A lot of powers are being devolved to them and the elected mayors are set to become major figures in their areas. Looking at the list the…

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Andy Burnham’s victory in first Gtr Manchester Mayoral Race should not be regarded as a foregone conclusion

Andy Burnham’s victory in first Gtr Manchester Mayoral Race should not be regarded as a foregone conclusion

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Manchester Evening News May 19 2016 Former LAB Health Secs have flopped in mayoral races before The biggest election, in terms of the one involving the most number of voters, planned for 2017 is the May contest for the elected Mayor of Greater Manchester. The bookies make ex-LAB health sec and twice failed leadership candidate, Andy Burnham the tight odds on favourite. Ladbrokes have him at 1/6. As well as the City of Manchester itself it covers a huge range…

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The plan for a progressive alliance might have an itsy bitsy teenie weenie flaw with it

The plan for a progressive alliance might have an itsy bitsy teenie weenie flaw with it

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How the 2015 general election result would look like under different voting systems by The @electoralreform Societyhttps://t.co/Gyvm8kJbyt pic.twitter.com/DPwiWsYk99 — TSE (@TSEofPB) December 18, 2016 With Leave polling 52% and the Tories & UKIP regularly polling around 50% plus in the polls a progressive alliance might be doomed. In recent weeks we’ve seen much talk of a progressive alliance to stop the Tories/Brexit/Right wing populism, and with the result of the Richmond Park by election that talk has ceased to be…

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An indication that we’re heading for a very flaccid Brexit?

An indication that we’re heading for a very flaccid Brexit?

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Well this a headline I thought I'd never see. Liam Fox talking about remaining in the customs union. https://t.co/dDfzc2hy7T pic.twitter.com/t05fz3G3WB — TSE (@TSEofPB) December 18, 2016 Intriguing Liam Fox interview on #Marr, says he'll accept Cabinet decision on EU deal, even if it's staying in Customs Union + transition. — Tom Newton Dunn (@tnewtondunn) December 18, 2016 I have to admit this surprised me, I’ve always had Liam Fox down as one of the staunchest Leavers in the Tory Party…

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