politicalbetting.com – Page 990 – The web's premier resource for political betting.

Now you can bet on how many LAB MPs will quit as during 2017

14/1/2017 Mike Smithson Comments 0 Comment

How many Labour MPs will resign during 2017? SIX or fewer – 10/11; SEVEN or more 10/11. #Labour — Graham Sharpe (@sharpeangle) January 14, 2017 Interesting new betting market up from William Hill on how many LAB MPs will quit the Commons this year. The bar has been set at six which seems reasonable given that we know about Copeland, Tristram Hunt and Andy Burnham’s promise to resign if he’s elected as Mayor of Greater Manchester. There are lots…

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Copeland is still the better bet for the Lib Dems

14/1/2017 David Herdson Comments 0 Comment

But will they be distracted by Stoke Central? The Tories love governing, Labour loves protesting and the Lib Dem love winning elections. With the return to form of the Lib Dems in gaining by-elections, all is now once again well with the world. They might still be languishing in fourth place in the national polls but in actual elections, Farron’s party has been performing admirably well over the last year and in particular over the last few months. Thursday produced…

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Labour’s challenge in retaining Stoke Central is equal if not greater than in Copeland

13/1/2017 Mike Smithson Comments 0 Comment

I was one of the lucky ones and managed to get £20 on the LDs at Ladbrokes Stoke Central market when the odds were 50/1. That’s now moved in sharply to 7/1 which I think is still reasonable value. Labour must be favourite though this could be very challenging. The party is less effective on the ground since JC and his team arrived. The massive increase in members does not appear to have added to the party’s ability to fight…

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Stoke Central, where MP Tristram Hunt is resigning, could be a tight four-way contest

13/1/2017 Mike Smithson Comments 0 Comment

Westminster by-election alert. Stoke Central later in year following MP's appointment as Director of the V&A pic.twitter.com/GQ9lRUgqUt — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) January 13, 2017 Constituency map Stoke Central where there's to be a by-election later in the year pic.twitter.com/QjtpTTefpC — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) January 13, 2017 Just got 50/1 on the LDs in Stoke Central with Ladbrokes. They've historical strength in the seat & were 2nd at GE2005 & GE2010 — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) January 13, 2017 Is Hunt going…

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Corbyn’s relaunch week ends with the LDs taking a LAB council seat in one of its heartlands on a 36% swing

12/1/2017 Mike Smithson Comments 0 Comment

And the yellows pick up a CON seat on a big swing The 2017 council by-election season has opened with the Lib Dems taking seats from both CON and LAB on big swings. The results are above. In Sunderland, where only 39% voted REMAIN on June 23rd, Farron’s party had the most surprising result. It appeared to be a LAB-UKIP contest and few anticipated a move on this scale. Last time the LD got just 4.5% in the seat and…

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The 2017 local by-election season opens with a LAB defence in Sunderland and a CON one in Herts

12/1/2017 Editor Comments 0 Comment

Sandhill on Sunderland caused by the resignation of the sitting Labour councillor for non attendance Result of council at last election (2016): Labour 67, Conservatives 6, Liberal Democrat 1, Independent 1 (Labour majority of 59) Result of ward at last election (2015): Labour 2,121 (55%), UKIP 1,003 (26%), Conservative 607 (16%), Liberal Democrat 135 (4%) EU Referendum Result (2016): REMAIN 51,930 (39%) LEAVE 82,394 (61%) on a turnout of 65% Candidates duly nominated: Bryan Foster (UKIP), Helmut Izaks (Green), Stephen…

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Professor Anthony King, one of Britain’s leading psephologists, dies at the age of 82

12/1/2017 Mike Smithson Comments 0 Comment

Prof Anthony King being awarded, alongside Prof Ivor Crewe, the 2014 Practical Politics Book of the Year award Professor Anthony King, one of Britain’s leading political scientists, has died at the age of 82. He’s perhaps best known for his appearances on election results programmes and his lucid analysis. From 1983 – 2005, he was BBC TV analyst on General Election nights. Also, every month for many years, he was the main commentator on political opinion polls for The Daily…

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Matthew Shaddick: Why the betting markets are over-rating Marine Le Pen’s chances

12/1/2017 Mike Smithson Comments 0 Comment

Shadsy of Ladbrokes on how punters are viewing the French Presidential race Ladbrokes are currently building up a very big liability on a Marine Le Pen victory in May’s French Presidential election. I’d be very surprised if that isn’t also the case with all of the other fixed-odds bookmakers offering odds. I’m happy with that, as I can see some very good reasons why the betting markets are over-rating her chances. 1. It’s possible that a lot of people betting…

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