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Lucian Fletcher on the latest Northern Ireland assembly poll

2/2/2017 TSE Comments 0 Comment

The heat is on… Exclusive insight on state of play for parties ahead of crucial March 2nd vote #AE17 @LucidTalk https://t.co/CpXUbu1rLR — The Sun (@TheSun_NI) February 1, 2017 Arlene Foster’s personal ratings fall through the floor, but the DUP will bank on fear of a Sinn Fein First Minister to keep their position as lead party in Northern Ireland Assembly The first LucidTalk opinion poll ahead of the 2017 Northern Ireland Assembly election has been published and one of the…

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NEW PB/Polling Matters podcast: May trouncing Corbyn in the polls and why we shouldn’t take the Northern Ireland peace process for granted

1/2/2017 Mike Smithson Comments 0 Comment

This week’s podcast is split into two parts. On the first part of the show, Keiran is joined by Nicholas Whyte to discuss the upcoming elections in Northern Ireland and the potential impact of Brexit on the province. Nicholas is an expert in politics and elections in Northern Ireland and a visiting professor at Ulster University and has a blunt warning for anyone that is complacent about the peace process there. On the second half of the show, Keiran is…

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Latest French presidential polling has one-time odds-favourite Francois Fillon failing to make the final two

1/2/2017 Mike Smithson Comments 0 Comment

As a Macron Backer I’d like to see other surveys showing same picture There’s no doubt what’s what’s become known as Penelopegate is having a big impact on assessments about who is going to win. The right-wing French Republican candidate has been dominating there polls and betting ever since he won the nomination in November but over the past few days there’s been a huge turnaround. It’s now being suggested that Fillon is damaged goods and might have to be…

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More data from today’s Trump visit YouGov polling

1/2/2017 Mike Smithson Comments 0 Comment

YouGov polling on how Brits would feel is measures similar to Trump's were brought in here. pic.twitter.com/732XOGj7Z2 — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) February 1, 2017 The YouGov "Should Trump's visit go ahead" poll – the party and referendum splits pic.twitter.com/qSIenZLwXd — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) February 1, 2017 Tweet

First polling on Trump’s UK visit has 49% supporting and 36% opposing

1/2/2017 Mike Smithson Comments 0 Comment

Embed from Getty Images In spite of the massive petition against it and the huge furore and demonstrations within the last 48 hours new UK polling this morning finds that 49% telling a YouGov Times poll that the visit should go ahead with 36% saying it shouldn’t. That means that public appeared to be backing Theresa Mays line on the controversial invitation. I suspect that if it’s felt that the security issues would be so great a polite way of…

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Corbyn the rebel has made the wrong call on the Article 50 vote and his party will suffer ever more

31/1/2017 Mike Smithson Comments 0 Comment

So here we are. The Article 50 bill starts in the Commons with Mr. Corbyn ordering his MPs to back the Tories – something that is going to be remembered. The dilemma was obvious – the majority of LAB voters voted REMAIN but the majority of LAB MPs are in areas that voted LEAVE. This is only problematical if there’s evidence that it would lead to voters switching on the issue and there isn’t. It is also based on the…

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The Tories are looking to Copeland for endorsement of Mrs. May’s plan for BREXIT

31/1/2017 Mike Smithson Comments 0 Comment

But what happens of the blues don’t take the LAB seat on February 23rd? Last night a Copeland voter emailed the above copy of a personalised letter that had come to him from Theresa May. The contents are very revealing about what message the Tories are hoping will come from them taking the seat from LAB in 23 days time. The Tories are looking to the result as a vindication of the strategy outlined in the PM’s speech earlier in…

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The lack of options for Brexit Britain

30/1/2017 TSE Comments 0 Comment

Embed from Getty Images Since the Brexit vote, British politics has been curiously alternativeless. The government rules without any effective opposition. The Prime Minister was installed by her party as the only imaginable choice once the other would-be contenders had been properly scrutinised. Theresa May was not particularly inspiring. But what else could the Conservative party have done? The Prime Minister has spent some months reviewing her options, only to find that she has none. She has rightly concluded…

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