YouGov polling on how Brits would feel is measures similar to Trump's were brought in here. pic.twitter.com/732XOGj7Z2 — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) February 1, 2017 The YouGov "Should Trump's visit go ahead" poll – the party and referendum splits pic.twitter.com/qSIenZLwXd — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) February 1, 2017 Tweet
Embed from Getty Images In spite of the massive petition against it and the huge furore and demonstrations within the last 48 hours new UK polling this morning finds that 49% telling a YouGov Times poll that the visit should go ahead with 36% saying it shouldn’t. That means that public appeared to be backing Theresa Mays line on the controversial invitation. I suspect that if it’s felt that the security issues would be so great a polite way of…
So here we are. The Article 50 bill starts in the Commons with Mr. Corbyn ordering his MPs to back the Tories – something that is going to be remembered. The dilemma was obvious – the majority of LAB voters voted REMAIN but the majority of LAB MPs are in areas that voted LEAVE. This is only problematical if there’s evidence that it would lead to voters switching on the issue and there isn’t. It is also based on the…
But what happens of the blues don’t take the LAB seat on February 23rd? Last night a Copeland voter emailed the above copy of a personalised letter that had come to him from Theresa May. The contents are very revealing about what message the Tories are hoping will come from them taking the seat from LAB in 23 days time. The Tories are looking to the result as a vindication of the strategy outlined in the PM’s speech earlier in…
Embed from Getty Images Since the Brexit vote, British politics has been curiously alternativeless. The government rules without any effective opposition. The Prime Minister was installed by her party as the only imaginable choice once the other would-be contenders had been properly scrutinised. Theresa May was not particularly inspiring. But what else could the Conservative party have done? The Prime Minister has spent some months reviewing her options, only to find that she has none. She has rightly concluded…
Latest German polls Nick Palmer on the other big European contest in 2017 The general assumption that Merkel is certain to be re-elected as Chancellor after the elections later this year is reflected in the betting odds. At the time of writing, her Betfair odds are 1.73. However, it’s always a good idea for punters to check that assumptions remain valid. The surprise selection of Martin Schulz as her Social Democrat (SPD) challenger has produced an immediate bump in SPD…
New polling this week shows Leave voters are convinced they made the right decision as Remainers stumble on leaderless writes Keiran Pedley With Trump and May very much making the headlines this week you may have missed the second Polling Matters / Opinium survey (full data here). This survey sought to measure public perceptions of the Brexit vote seven months on and also the strength of feeling on either side. The overarching message is that the public backs Brexit as…
Ladbrokes have put up a market on Donald Trump no to visit the UK before the end of 2017. I took the 5/1 which I thought was a good price, especially in the light of William Hill offering 4/6 on Trump not to make a state visit in 2017, William Hill are offering 11/10 that a state visit will take place. Whilst the terms aren’t quite the same, I’m prepared to stake money on the 5/1 for the following reasons….