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Corbyn keeps his shirt on in Poldark country

11/9/2017 TSE Comments 0 Comment

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QjsYMHwLuNU&t=49s Video: Footage of Jeremy Corbyn campaigning in Redruth last month. We all know that Jeremy Corbyn doesn’t need to take his shirt off to get people singing “Ooo”. So the Labour leader was fully clad when he fetched up in Poldark country for Labour campaign rally in high summer. If he’d shown any inclination to emulate Aidan Turner’s naked sea bathing and shirtless gardening in the BBC period drama his minders would doubtless have warned him against validating Theresa May’s bizarre comment in…

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Another fascinating insight into Mrs May and her disastrous election campaign

10/9/2017 TSE Comments 0 Comment

Absolutely fascinating insight by @TomMcTague & @TimRoss_1 on Tory election campaign. Definitely buying their book. https://t.co/myXGOEJId3 pic.twitter.com/5FBcFBnrPH — TSE (@TSEofPB) September 10, 2017 Listening to David Davis and ignoring what made David Cameron a success at general elections helped contribute to Mrs May’s calamitous election result. This morning The Mail on Sunday have an excerpt from a forthcoming book by Tim Ross and Tom McTague about the Tory election campaign. They have some great snippets, the first one that stood…

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Taking the 33/1 on Sir Patrick McLoughlin as the next cabinet minister to resign

10/9/2017 TSE Comments 0 Comment

Earlier on this week I wrote that I wanted to back Sir Patrick McLoughlin as next out of the cabinet market, but not at 10/1, one of PB’s most astute gamblers, Richard Nabavi has flagged up to me that Betway are offering 33/1 on Sir Patrick being the next cabinet minister to resign. Now this is market is slightly different to the marker offered by Ladbrokes, as the rules of the Betway market means the minister has to resign rather than be…

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The Lord Adonis guide to predicting elections: The best leader wins – nothing else matters

9/9/2017 Mike Smithson Comments 0 Comment

The LAB peer and former cabinet minister, Andrew Adonis, has a fascinating essay in the latest edition of Prospect on the best guide to election forecasting. His conclusion is encapsulated in the headline above – the party with the leader perceived to be best wins and nothing else matters. He opens by recalling a Guardian article by Jonathan Freedland when Brown was PM and when many in the Labour party were demanding a new debate on “the issues” “Freedland cautioned…

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The Strange Rise of Jacob Rees-Mogg

9/9/2017 David Herdson Comments 0 Comment

David Herdson on the man who opposes abortion & gay marriage Of all the odd stories to have infected the Silly Season, none has been odder than the promotion of Jacob Rees-Mogg to be the next Leader of the Conservatives and, quite possibly along with it, Prime Minister. The oddness is not so much the story itself but the crossover into the betting markets. He is widely quoted at about 8/1 for the premiership, with only Paddy Power out on…

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Only 11% of the country are prepared for the Zombie apocalypse

8/9/2017 TSE Comments 0 Comment

The UK is going to be woefully unprepared when the Zombies do rise up Only 11% of us have made plans for the Zombie apocalypse @YouGov finds. https://t.co/Ppv9qUU1fh pic.twitter.com/2jY8FNOFJD — TSE (@TSEofPB) September 8, 2017 YouGov: Of those 11% who do have zombie plans, 45% involve holing up somewhere, 43% consider supplies, just 13% killing zombies. pic.twitter.com/bmN1vCeuDa — TSE (@TSEofPB) September 8, 2017 YouGov: Of the 45% of zombie plans that involve holing up, the largest number intend to hole…

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The numbers game. Alastair Meeks on the forthcoming Parliamentary votes on Brexit

8/9/2017 TSE Comments 0 Comment

Picture credit: House of Commons twitter feed. Pundits often refer to hardfought Parliamentary votes being a numbers game. The phrase comes from the name given in the US to lotteries. In a hung Parliament, that is more apposite than usual. The current government does not enjoy the benefit of a Parliamentary majority and has some controversial measures to get through, particularly on Brexit. So let’s take a look at some of the Parliamentary tribes that Mrs M will need to…

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Tonight’s sonnet like by elections

7/9/2017 TSE Comments 0 Comment

14 council by-elections tonight. Nine Tory defences, four Labour, one Lib Dem. Read @andrewteale's previews: https://t.co/ALHfhKqrDF — Britain Elects (@BritainElects) September 7, 2017 TSE