TMay falls further behind Corbyn in latest YouGov favourability ratings
And CON voters are moving away from Boris Mike Smithson Follow @MSmithsonPB Tweet
Punter anger at the way William Hill settled its LAB MPs resigning in 2017 market
Bet definitions are so important In the last thread there was a lot of discussion about the precise definition of what particular markets mean. What exactly, for instance, is defined as Britain leaving the EU? The definitions of political bets can often be problematical and can lead to arguments with bookmakers. A current case involves a prominent PBer who has raised the question of how William Hill has settled its number of LAB MPs to resign in 2017 market which…
As the Brexit Bill goes into the committee stage punters remain unconvinced that UK will leave on March 29 2019
Mike Smithson Follow @MSmithsonPB Tweet
Father of six who has never been a minister nor changed a nappy now favourite to succeed TMay
Jacob Rees-Mogg: “I am not a modern man” With all the focus on the Westminster sexual abuse scandal there has been a big change in the Conservative leadership betting. Jacob Rees-Mogg who is not and never has been a minister has now moved above a former Mayor of London and no Foreign Secretary, Mr Johnson, and just ahead of the Brexit Secretary Mr David Davis. He’s also a father of six and back in July admitted that he’d never changed…
Why the Tory plotters wanting to oust May need have no worries about letting Corbyn in
A new CON leader WILL NOT mean an early general election With the Sunday newspaper reports that the CON MPs plotting an early retirement for Mrs May being just 8 MPs short of the 48 required for a confidence vote we could be very close to a formal move against Mrs May. One of the big arguments that May backers and the Tory whips are apparently making to MPs is that if she goes early then it heightens the risk…
This tweet epitomises why betting on Donald Trump related markets is so difficult
Why would Kim Jong-un insult me by calling me "old," when I would NEVER call him "short and fat?" Oh well, I try so hard to be his friend – and maybe someday that will happen! — Donald J. Trump (@realDonaldTrump) November 12, 2017 Kim Jong Un called Trump a "lunatic old man" who might start a "nuclear war." Trump let "lunatic" and "nuclear war" slide and complained about "old." pic.twitter.com/UM6OlqYCOi — Daniel Dale (@ddale8) November 12, 2017 Given Donald…
Betting on the Alabama senate race
If a self confessed pussy grabber can win Alabama then so should Roy Moore. Up to a few days ago it seemed the most exciting thing in the Alabama senate race would be the Republican primary, which culminated with the Donald Trump endorsed candidate Luther Strange being defeated by Roy Moore, then a story broke earlier on this week when a woman accused Roy Moore of initiating sexual conduct with her when she was 14 years old and he was 32. A…
LAB’s most successful election winner the latest to question why Corbyn’s party isn’t further ahead
Tony Blair: 'Labour should be 20 points ahead in polls' https://t.co/DS8q4dkCM6 — BBC Politics (@BBCPolitics) November 11, 2017 The record suggests that when LAB’s ahead the Tories are being understated Tony Blair is the person of course, that people like Team Corbyn never like even to acknowledge even though he’s the one living LAB leader who has been an election winner. In fact he’s the only leader never to have lost a general election. One of the points I like…