Iff this is true then the chances of a 2018 general election have increased, the DUP will bring down Mrs May’s government

Iff this is true then the chances of a 2018 general election have increased, the DUP will bring down Mrs May’s government

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BREAKING: UK will concede that there will be no "regulatory divergence" on the island of Ireland on the single market and customs union, acc to a draft text seen by @rtenews — Tony Connelly (@tconnellyRTE) December 4, 2017 Acc to one version of EU-UK draft: “In the absence of agreed solutions the UK will ensure that there continues to be no divergence from those rules of the internal market + customs union which, now or in the future, support North…

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The Porn Legacy: Theresa May’s aides want Damian Green to quit

The Porn Legacy: Theresa May’s aides want Damian Green to quit

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The Porn Legacy: Mrs May's aides, including her Chief of Staff, want Damian Green to quit.https://t.co/r1GXdkHLM6 pic.twitter.com/xDGMx0XZyw — TSE (@TSEofPB) December 3, 2017 How The Porn Legacy & The Porn Ultimatum could have an impact on Brexit The Sunday Times report Theresa May’s senior aides want Damian Green to quit to spare the prime minister the pain of sacking him or the embarrassment of clearing him of wrongdoing. Government sources say senior figures in Downing Street — including the chief…

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Your regular reminder that laying the favourite in the next Tory leader market is usually very profitable

Your regular reminder that laying the favourite in the next Tory leader market is usually very profitable

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Ignoring the polls and laying the favourite for the next Tory leader has been consistently a profitable route for nearly half a century. The picture above is from ConHome’s regular polling on the next Tory leader from October 2015, Osborne would lead for five months in a row, yet he failed to become David Cameron’s successor. Now people might argue Osborne’s prominent role in the Remain campaign put the kibosh on him succeeding David Cameron but he’s not the first…

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The most accurate pollster at the general election gives Labour an 8% lead and a majority of 10

The most accurate pollster at the general election gives Labour an 8% lead and a majority of 10

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Tonight’s @Survation poll.LAB 45% (+1) CON 37% (-1) LD 6% (-1) UKIP 4% (NC) SNP 3% (NC) GRE 1%. Changes since Oct. Fieldwork Thurs/Fri. pic.twitter.com/ijJ1cIWusB — TSE (@TSEofPB) December 2, 2017 From May to December, the chart that sums up British politics in 2017. Since May the Tories down 10% and Labour up 15% @survation finds. pic.twitter.com/9pc544TVwi — TSE (@TSEofPB) December 2, 2017 Interesting @Survation finds Which of these do you believe would be best for the UK economy? Britain…

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Bad news for Damian Green, the police have a 110% lead on net trust ratings over government ministers

Bad news for Damian Green, the police have a 110% lead on net trust ratings over government ministers

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Movers in @IpsosMORI veracity index since 1983: Clergy down, but civil servants, union officials, professors, police, business leaders and journalists all up https://t.co/eo2rUPk1lA pic.twitter.com/Ffa3WhMgNk — Gideon Skinner (@GideonSkinner) November 30, 2017 I like the Ipsos MORI veracity index, because they’ve been polling on it since 1983 so we can see the long term trends and put the current figures into context. In light of current events involving Damian Green, in the court of public of opinion the First Secretary of…

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Damian Green’s computer is none of our business

Damian Green’s computer is none of our business

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This has unhealthy echoes of the Plebgate affair Why would former policemen leak details of an investigation that didn’t result in a prosecution (never mind a conviction), which took place nine years ago and where the details were incidental to the alleged act being investigated? The answer to that is, of course, entirely speculative. It is also to a large degree irrelevant. If there was evidence of criminal wrongdoing, they should have acted at the time. If there wasn’t, they…

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