Bookies holding back payment to Alabama punters because the result was tight and there could be a recount

Bookies holding back payment to Alabama punters because the result was tight and there could be a recount

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Roy Moore refuses to concede, says "we also know that God is in control" https://t.co/1sJSZehJKH https://t.co/IXqp0xvnhB — CNN (@CNN) December 13, 2017 Those punters who backed the Democrats in the Alabama senate race are probably going to have to wait for their winnings. The losing candidate, Roy Moore, has refused to accept the result and it looks as though there might well be a recount. See his comment to supporters in the CNN clip above. I actually think the bookies…

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Huge blow for Trump as GOP loses the Alabama Senate election on a hugely exciting betting night

Huge blow for Trump as GOP loses the Alabama Senate election on a hugely exciting betting night

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The chart above is from Betdata.io and shows the dramatic changes in the Betfair price. As was widely predicted this was amazingly tight with the markets changing all the time as more information came in. What was particularly good was a New York Times model that was looking at the demographics of each polling area and impacting on the overall outcome as the information came in. This turned out to be highly predictive and those who followed that for their…

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For the first time Scots CON leader, RDavidson, hints that Westminster might be a possiblity

For the first time Scots CON leader, RDavidson, hints that Westminster might be a possiblity

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Scots CON leader Ruth Davidson says she would consider standing to be an MP in future. https://t.co/YVUXkiT7Ts — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) December 12, 2017 The first step to her becoming leader? The woman who saved TMay’s bacon on June 8th, Scots CON leader Ruth Davidson, has hinted that becoming a Westminster MP might just be a possibility. For a very long time Davidson has figured highly in the betting and in surveys of Tory members. There’s little doubt that it…

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For the first time since GE2017 consecutive polls have Corbyn’s Labour behind

For the first time since GE2017 consecutive polls have Corbyn’s Labour behind

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His ambivalence over Brexit impedes LAB on the biggest issue Two Westminster voting intention polls in the past 24 hours have both got the COM in the lead and of course LAB in second place. This is the first time since the general election that consecutive polls have showed this. Labour’s real problem is that it is failing to have a clear distinctive voice that resonates with the vast numbers of Labour voters Who are strongly for remain. Brexit is…

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The great Alabama polling Gamble. Robo calls v human interviewers

The great Alabama polling Gamble. Robo calls v human interviewers

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RCP Above is the latest polling table from Real Clear Politics with surveys on today’s special senate race in Alabama where the Republican candidate is Roy Moore – the man who has been accused of sexual abuse against girls as young as 14. As can be seen the surveys give a totally mixed view of what is likely to happen ranging from Moore 9% ahead to the astonishing Fox News poll that came out yesterday afternoon with a Democrat lead…

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It’s not easy being Green but he’s expected to be cleared on Wednesday

It’s not easy being Green but he’s expected to be cleared on Wednesday

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Damian Green will keep his job as First Minister, I am told by three well-placed sources. There should be confirmation on Wednesday https://t.co/WqEN3lAE3z — Robert Peston (@Peston) December 11, 2017 Mrs May’s week looks to keep on getting better. Robert Peston reports I am told by three well-placed sources that Theresa May’s deputy, the First Secretary of State Damian Green, will be informed on Wednesday by the Cabinet Office and his boss the PM that he does not need to…

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Could the first by-election of the 2017 Parliament be at Ashford in Kent?

Could the first by-election of the 2017 Parliament be at Ashford in Kent?

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One of the problems about running a website dedicated to betting on politics is that we need things on which we can gamble where we’re going to get a result in the not too distant future. The past year has been helped by a couple of unexpected by-elections and of course Mrs May’s decision in April to go to the country for a general election. We have also had some interesting overseas elections including the ones in France, the Netherlands,…

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