NEW PB / Polling Matters podcast: Reshuffles, Oprah and exclusive polling on Brexit and trust

NEW PB / Polling Matters podcast: Reshuffles, Oprah and exclusive polling on Brexit and trust

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The PB / Polling Matters podcast returns for a new year with a new format. The podcast starts with Keiran Pedley and Leo Barasi discussing the latest news stories from the past week. Leo talks about this week’s reshuffle and the recent hiring and resignation of Toby Young and what it means for the Tories. Keiran then gives his impression on the latest goings on in Trump-land and whether Oprah could really run for president. Keiran and Leo then unveil…

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First Winfrey – Trump polling has Oprah 10 points ahead

First Winfrey – Trump polling has Oprah 10 points ahead

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Boondocks And she’s a favourability rating of 55% New polling just out this afternoon from the right-leaning pollster Rasmussen has a big boost for TV personality, Oprah Winfrey who has now entered, though not the race, the frame for WH20020. This is from the pollster: “TV personality Oprah Winfrey is the likely winner over President Trump if the 2020 election were held today, but there are a lot of undecideds. The latest Rasmussen Reports national telephone and online survey finds…

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The reshuffle has left TMay weaker but has it hastened her departure?

The reshuffle has left TMay weaker but has it hastened her departure?

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There’s still no obvious alternative The former shadow CON minister and head of ConHome, Paul Goodman, has given his damning verdict on the reshuffle under the heading “The worst-handled reshuffle in recent history – perhaps ever”. This, of course, follows other PM “set pieces” like her October conference speech and the GE17 campaign that didn’t go according to plan. He highlights that “for several days, the media was full of stories about why the Prime Minister didn’t rate Justine Greening….

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Suddenly Oprah Winfrey becomes second favourite for next President

Suddenly Oprah Winfrey becomes second favourite for next President

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But does she want it? It never ceases to amaze me how quickly the American presidential election cycle seems to move. Donald Trump has only been in the White House since January last year and now all the talk is of the 2020 contest with a focus on who would be his Democratic opponent should he decide to run again. Following her widely publicised appearance at The Golden Globes on Sunday night in Los Angeles the talk is all about…

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Toby Young quits so helping TMay by taking the attention away from her bungled reshuffle

Toby Young quits so helping TMay by taking the attention away from her bungled reshuffle

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Toby Young resigns as May’s universities adviser over ‘ill-judged’ sexist tweets https://t.co/sZbBp9VB3i pic.twitter.com/oFcKOcvje9 — BI UK Politics (@BIUK_Politics) January 9, 2018 You can’t plead youthful indiscretion for things in your late 40s It was inevitable, I suppose, after all the weekend hiatus that Toby Young was not going to be able to survive in his new role on the board of the new University regulator. It is an OK defence to plead youthful indiscretion for things that you did in…

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After a chaotic day TMay’s position looks even weaker

After a chaotic day TMay’s position looks even weaker

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Surely this could have been handled better Friends of Justine Greening tell me: “She should have absolutely expected to continue… she saw people who have been massively disloyal, others not competent, allowed to stay in Cabinet, and even given expanded briefs” — Faisal Islam (@faisalislam) January 8, 2018 Tory MP: “worst reshuffle I have ever witnessed in any party ever. None of it makes sense. It’s sabotage. I think someone’s trying to destroy her on the inside. I can’t think…

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Meanwhile a slight increase in approval for the handling of Brexit negotiations but even less confidence about what’ll happen

Meanwhile a slight increase in approval for the handling of Brexit negotiations but even less confidence about what’ll happen

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In what I think is the first published political polling of 2018 the latest ORB Brexit trackers are out. There had been much expectation following the success of Theresa May’s talks in Brussels last month that this would lead to some improvement in the ratings. Well there has been a little bit of movement on the approval of the Brexit negotiations but nothing much and well within the margin of error. The other traffic tracker on the public’s Expectations what’s…

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