The juvenile CON attacks on Corbyn have simply reinforced the LAB leader

The juvenile CON attacks on Corbyn have simply reinforced the LAB leader

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Can someone pls fetch a bodybag for Steve Baker we have a casualty here pic.twitter.com/mzp4p1IYGy — Alan White (@aljwhite) February 21, 2018 Now legal action The above interview between Andrew Neil and Minister Steve Baker on today’s Daily Politics just about sums up the reason why Conservative have got it so wrong in the attacks on Corbyn. Some of them appear to have built on the revelations in the media with their own view about what this means and now,…

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TMay in third place as “best PM” in latest YouGov London poll

TMay in third place as “best PM” in latest YouGov London poll

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Best PM? NOTA 36% Corbyn 31% May 24% Cable 9% London Local elections voting CON 28 LAB 54 LD 11 London GE voting intenton LAB 53% CON 33% LD 8% With the votes in London at the May local elections likely to dominate coverage a new YouGov poll QMUL has bad news for the Conservatives. The numbers in the local elections voting suggests that the Conservatives could be facing the loss of several key Boroughs to LAB and having tough…

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Tick Tock Two. There is more than one countdown taking place

Tick Tock Two. There is more than one countdown taking place

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Looking beyond March 29 2019 Earlier this week I wrote about the likelihood that Britain will leave the EU on the current scheduled date of 29 March 2019. My logic was simple: the timetable is preset, adjusting it requires the consent of a lot of different parties and there is no sign yet that many people in Britain have changed their minds. You can still back that proposition at 5/4 on Betfair and it still looks to me to be…

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The money continues to go on Brexit NOT happening by March 29th next year – but the gap’s tightening

The money continues to go on Brexit NOT happening by March 29th next year – but the gap’s tightening

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Twelve month chart from Betfata.io Everyday for months, it seems, the news has been dominated by developments over Brexit and tinight, of course, we have the letter from 62 conservative MPs saying to Theresa May that they want a hard exit. But the Westminster numbers remain very tight and it is hard to come to any definitive conclusion over what form of Brexit will be agreed or whether something else might come along to put a total spanner into the…

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Trump critic Mitt Romney could prove problematical for Trump if, as likely, he’s elected senator

Trump critic Mitt Romney could prove problematical for Trump if, as likely, he’s elected senator

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I am running for United States Senate to serve the people of Utah and bring Utah's values to Washington. pic.twitter.com/TDkas6gD2p — Mitt Romney (@MittRomney) February 16, 2018 The Republican White House nominee in 2012 and Trump critic, Mitt Romney is running to become the next Senator for Utah – a GOP stronghold. Given the tightness of the current split in the Senate, 51 Republican to 49 Democratic, the former nominee has the potential to cause problems for the White House….

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UKIP as a political party – one of the big casualties of Brexit

UKIP as a political party – one of the big casualties of Brexit

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Love this pic.twitter.com/A0lylpFIRJ — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) February 19, 2018 How Brussels created the electoral system for UKIP to prosper One of the ongoing political developments that has amused many since the referendum has been the UKIP leadership and the problems the party has in ensuring that whoever is gets the job lasts the course. An of the success of UKIP over the years is that it owes so much to Brussels for seeking to impose similar voting systems for…

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There’s greater than a 1.25% chance that Emily Thornberry will be next PM

There’s greater than a 1.25% chance that Emily Thornberry will be next PM

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My little punt this afternoon One of the things about running a site about political betting and being a punter myself is that I like to spend a few minutes each day casting my eye over the markets to see if anything interesting is happening. I’m usually on the lookout for long odds bets where my assessment of the chances of it coming off is better than how the market is pricing it. One such one I took this afternoon….

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Tick tock. Betting on the date of the UK’s exit from the EU

Tick tock. Betting on the date of the UK’s exit from the EU

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Is it going to be March 29 next year? Can you hear it? That is the sound of inevitability. Shambolic though the government’s preparations have been for Brexit, failing to explain its proposals to the public, the EU or even itself, the time to exit continues to approach. When the government gave notice under Article 50, a two year timetable was set in motion. That will expire at 11pm (GMT) on Friday 29 March 2019. Nothing the government has done…

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