If there is a second referendum Remain should demand that all voters show photo ID

If there is a second referendum Remain should demand that all voters show photo ID

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Financial Times Last time those without passports were most likely to vote leave At this stage last year the Tories were riding high. The party had just taken Copeland from LAB and all the polls had the Tories in the 40s with LAB in the 20s. In spite of her quite narrow CON majority Mrs. May was assuring the country that there would be no General Election until 2020 as laid down in the Fixed Term Parliament Act. That did…

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Interesting news for those of us betting on the year of Trump’s exit date

Interesting news for those of us betting on the year of Trump’s exit date

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CNN obtained a tape of Trump at a closed-door fundraiser. He said this about China's president: "He's now president for life. President for life. And he's great. And look, he was able to do that. I think it's great. Maybe we'll give that a shot some day." https://t.co/FzLjVtlhl1 — Brian Stelter (@brianstelter) March 4, 2018 My expectation for a while has been health or assassins permitting Donald Trump’s tenure as President will end on January 20th 2025, and have been…

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Jeremy Corbyn is an unconventional politician, the normal rules of politics and polling don’t apply to him

Jeremy Corbyn is an unconventional politician, the normal rules of politics and polling don’t apply to him

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Some underestimate just how good a campaigner Jeremy Corbyn is and crucially he likes campaigning. There’s been quite a lot of comment about Jeremy Corbyn’s Labour not polling well enough against the Tories to ensure he becomes Prime Minister after the next general election. But my hypothesis is that the only time we should judge Corbyn is during a general election campaign. I’ve got this feeling those people are once again underestimating Corbyn because he’s not a conventional politician, he’s…

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It is a big mistake to assume that the decline of UKIP means its voters automatically go to the Tories

It is a big mistake to assume that the decline of UKIP means its voters automatically go to the Tories

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Serious analysis shows this is not happening One of the big electoral assumptions that continues to be made is that the decline of UKIP means that their votes shift almost an entirety to the Conservatives. We saw this thinking big time in a run up to the June 2016 general election when people were looking at the previous results from a seat and simply adding the UKIP share to the Tory total to come to some of you as to…

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Introducing the new Confident Corbyn

Introducing the new Confident Corbyn

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Two-and-a-half years after being elected, he’s finally acting like a leader Something has happened to Jeremy Corbyn; something which few would have thought possible, never mind expected a year ago: he has become comfortable doing the job expected of a party leader. Indeed, more than that: he has become confident in the role. Part of that is, of course, a consequence of the general election – but it’s only a part. Sure, he revelled then in addressing mass rallies, in…

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Blow for LAB as YouGov finds Corbyn’s approach to Brexit getting just 24% support

Blow for LAB as YouGov finds Corbyn’s approach to Brexit getting just 24% support

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43% of those polled by YouGov say they oppose While all the attention today has been on Theresa Mays big Brexit speech we’ve now got the first polling reaction from YouGov to Mr Corbyn’s statements earlier in the week. Although this was covered widely by the media on Monday the general reaction has been fairly negative for the Labour leader. Just 24% said they support the approach that he is taking with 43% saying they oppose. Significantly just 38% of…

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CORRECTED: The Electoral Reform Society attacks the government’s planned voter ID trials as “unnecessary and over-bearing’’

CORRECTED: The Electoral Reform Society attacks the government’s planned voter ID trials as “unnecessary and over-bearing’’

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Do the figures show that the government has got this wrong? New figures on electoral fraud from the Electoral Commission show the tiny scale of the problem of personation which the ERS says raises major questions about overbearing ID restrictions to be trialed at elections this May, The analysis by the Electoral Commission of votes conducted in 2017 revealed there were just 28 allegations of ‘personation’ in polling stations – where someone is accused of assuming another’s identity to cast…

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Given the appalling weather let’s be thankful that yesterday wasn’t a general election or a referendum

Given the appalling weather let’s be thankful that yesterday wasn’t a general election or a referendum

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There were 4 by-election taking place local councils yesterday and the results should make interesting reading because these happened on the worst Thursday for the weather across the country in decades. Who would have thought, for instance, that one of the biggest Premier League matches of the season, Arsenal vs Manchester City, would take place in what appeared to be a half empty Stadium. A lot of people with tickets, and they are not cheap at the Emirates, simply didn’t…

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