YouGov have run their very accurate constituency predictor on the House elections in November

YouGov have run their very accurate constituency predictor on the House elections in November

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YouGov has run its MRP model on the US Congress. Midpoint gives the Democrats an overall majority of 3…https://t.co/nVYXoomaj1 — Matt Singh (@MattSingh_) June 3, 2018 Will the YouGov model be as accurate in America as it was in the UK? One of the undoubted winners of the last UK general election were YouGov and their MRP model which showed a hung parliament when most other pollsters were showing the Tories were on course for a hefty majority. I recall…

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Forget the Lewisham East by election this will be the most important political event of June 14th

Forget the Lewisham East by election this will be the most important political event of June 14th

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June 14th is set to be High Noon for Mrs May and the type of Brexit we get. This could be the most important Commons vote since the Norway Debate of 1940. Story by @ShippersUnbound. https://t.co/9w0nsWPE5x pic.twitter.com/nIvY0LBi92 — TSE (@TSEofPB) June 3, 2018 If Mrs May loses this vote I'm not sure what happens next, the end of her Premiership, her government, and Brexit delayed are all possibilities. — TSE (@TSEofPB) June 3, 2018 I wonder if Andrew Bridgen advised…

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Nightmare on Brexit Street

Nightmare on Brexit Street

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SUNDAY TIMES main story #tomorrowspaperstoday pic.twitter.com/2ZeWg3lkJV — Helen Miller (@MsHelicat) June 2, 2018 Sunday Times splash is fascinating. Well done @ShippersUnbound This bit should worry any sentient politician the most: the Dexeu response saying “none” of this will come to pass. None In defiance of official advice, experts and logic It feels like the absolutism of a cult pic.twitter.com/OC1jnYrsTr — Sam Coates Sky (@SamCoatesSky) June 2, 2018 If this is likely then expect an extension of Article 50 or Corbyn…

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As more Labour MPs call for a referendum on the deal I’m not changing my betting position that there won’t be another referendum

As more Labour MPs call for a referendum on the deal I’m not changing my betting position that there won’t be another referendum

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INDEPENDENT DIGITAL: Labour MPs tell Corbyn to back new referendum #tomorrowspaperstoday pic.twitter.com/uljMBCIYx3 — Neil Henderson (@hendopolis) June 1, 2018 All those Leave voters in Labour held constituencies would ensure an electoral reckoning if Corbyn agreed to this. The Independent reports that Jeremy Corbyn faces mounting pressure to back a new referendum on Brexit after a raft of London Labour MPs signed a letter calling for a vote on the final deal. The open letter to The Independent signed by 18 MPs in total warns that a…

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On the wrong track: the government needs to be seen to be getting a grip of the rail fiasco

On the wrong track: the government needs to be seen to be getting a grip of the rail fiasco

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For once, the minister at the centre is worth backing as Next Out In the most recent Mori Issues Index (published on 4 May but with fieldwork going back well into April), not a single person out of the 1001 questioned said that transport was the most important issue facing the country. This compares against two people who responded with ‘pandemics’, another two who said AIDS, four who put forward ‘animal welfare’, six whose chief concern was nuclear weapons, and…

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Just once I’d like a solution to the Northern Ireland border problem to last more than a few hours

Just once I’d like a solution to the Northern Ireland border problem to last more than a few hours

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David Davis’ new plan for ‘buffer zone’ at Irish border to break Brexit deadlock branded ‘nonsense’ by the DUP https://t.co/mn3flKomCl — Sun Politics (@SunPolitics) June 1, 2018 Something tells me Brexit isn’t as easy as David Davis thought it would be. This is what he said in July 2016. Nearly two years on he still hasn’t sorted out the Northern Ireland border issue and that was meant to be the easy bit. Pic via @BuzzFeedUKPol pic.twitter.com/RbcXuEbxfE — TSE (@TSEofPB) June…

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Has David Davis just increased the chances of a 2018 election or Corbyn becoming PM this year?

Has David Davis just increased the chances of a 2018 election or Corbyn becoming PM this year?

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Excl: Revealed – David Davis’s new Brexit plan to give Northern Ireland joint UK/EU status and a border buffer zone;https://t.co/jCjUi6vMnD — Tom Newton Dunn (@tnewtondunn) May 31, 2018 Two big developments for the Max Fac option (the only one under real consideration now)1. DD has been persuaded a technological solution to keep the NI border open won’t work, so has moved to regulatory alignment ideas (1/3) — Tom Newton Dunn (@tnewtondunn) May 31, 2018 This may just win agreement from…

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From bollocks to Brexit to bollocks to Bercow?

From bollocks to Brexit to bollocks to Bercow?

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After "Bollocks to Brexit", now Speaker Bercow has a sticker on his car saying "Don't blame me, I voted Remain" https://t.co/uA6sWWWmwA pic.twitter.com/h3Hy7ZyDLC — Alex Wickham (@alexwickham) May 31, 2018 The Speaker seems determined to annoy the Leavers and with crucial votes on Brexit coming up that seems unwise. Former Monday Club member John Bercow has a history of needlessly antagonising people with his words & actions and I fear that his bumper sticker will rightly annoy Leavers especially with crucial…

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