Trump’s Gallup approval rating drops a net minus nine in a week

Trump’s Gallup approval rating drops a net minus nine in a week

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The immigration clampdown is hurting him and possibly his party We’ve now got the first Gallup approval ratings for the period entirely after the immigration clampdown that saw children being forcibly separated from their parents. His approval number is down 4 points in a week to 41% while his disapproval jumped 5 points to 55%. This reflects the hammering he has been getting in the media and even from parts of his own family. What made this particularly challenging for…

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This Bloomberg reports on the referendum, polling and the hedge funds is a must read

This Bloomberg reports on the referendum, polling and the hedge funds is a must read

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How the Betfair Brexit market moved on June 23/24 2016. Data/chart from @betdatapolitics pic.twitter.com/5c0FjJCKxv — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) June 25, 2018 I am assuming the ?@TheFCA? and ?@bankofengland? will be reading this impressive expose by ?@business? of what looks like market manipulation on the night the UK chose Brexit – and Sterling first rose and then slumped https://t.co/Fmv1cGdvuC — Robert Peston (@Peston) June 25, 2018 One thing the article does not cover is that there were strong rumours in the…

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The second favourite in the WH2020 betting, Kamala Harris, says she’s NOT ruling out a run for presidency

The second favourite in the WH2020 betting, Kamala Harris, says she’s NOT ruling out a run for presidency

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One of the key figures in attacking Trump over his immigration policies that have led to children being taken away from their parents is Kamala Harris – Senator from California. She’s high profile and articulate and inevitably is being pressed about whether she might run for White House in 2020. Harris — the daughter of immigrants from Jamaica and India — is very much seen as a defender of immigrants. So in her appearance before the cameras, after visiting an…

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Confessions of a door to door fireplace salesman

Confessions of a door to door fireplace salesman

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MAIL On Sunday: “Give Me £20bn Or I’ll Bring You Down” #bbcpapers #tomorrowspaperstoday pic.twitter.com/s8dmSEroe8 — Allie Hodgkins-Brown (@AllieHBNews) June 23, 2018 The former fireplace salesman becomes another Tory making plans to oust Mrs May. Today’s Mail on Sunday reports that Defence Secretary Gavin Williamson has threatened to sweep Theresa May from power in a bitter Cabinet row over military cuts. Furious Mr Williamson warned the Prime Minister that if she did not commit an extra £20 billion to the Ministry of Defence…

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Speaker cornered. Time for John Bercow to stand down as Speaker

Speaker cornered. Time for John Bercow to stand down as Speaker

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I have a soft spot for John Bercow, located somewhere around my wallet.  Over the years he has been a steady source of income for me as he has survived in office as Speaker, despite the noises off that regularly come from Conservative backwoodsmen harrumphing about his supposed rudeness and perceived unConservativeness.  Despite abundant evidence that only a small minority were willing to put their heads above the parapet, enough Bercowphobes were regularly willing to put money on the proposition…

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A year ago BoJo was hot favourite for PM: Now those concerned about Brexit jobs are being told “F**k business”

A year ago BoJo was hot favourite for PM: Now those concerned about Brexit jobs are being told “F**k business”

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Boris's response to the Airbus decision – "F**k business" ' | via @telegraph https://t.co/NT7QO6kEwP — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) June 23, 2018 The TMay successor betting since GE17 Mike Smithson Follow @MSmithsonPB Tweet

If you can’t join them, beat them: Denmark, football, Maastricht and Brexit’s genesis

If you can’t join them, beat them: Denmark, football, Maastricht and Brexit’s genesis

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David Herdson looks back to 1992 They shouldn’t even have been there, and had it not been for the disintegration of Yugoslavia, they wouldn’t have been. However, they didn’t let their second chance go to waste and as the leaders of the twelve EC members met in Lisbon, the plucky Danes overturned the natural order of things and defeated Germany’s assumed unstoppable progress. As metaphors went, the football team’s 2-0 victory was perfect. 24 days earlier, the Danish electorate had…

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Punters now make it a 63% chance that the UK will leave the EU on March 29th next year

Punters now make it a 63% chance that the UK will leave the EU on March 29th next year

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Betdata.io The big unknown now is the Leave campaign funding investigation As can be seen from the chart the Brexit “will it happen on time” market has seen a fair bit of turbulence since the start of the year with YES now a 67% chance. The recent bumps have been cause by the progress of the exit bill through both houses of parliament. At the moment the one thing that we know about that could cause movement is the Electoral…

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