It’s now down to an evens chance in the betting that the UK will leave the EU on March 29th

It’s now down to an evens chance in the betting that the UK will leave the EU on March 29th

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Chart Betdata.io   How is this going to go? Given the huge uncertainty that  hangs over Theresa May’s Brexit deal it is no wonder that punters are getting more nervous when risking their cash on the market that the UK will leave the EU on March 29th next year. Back in October on Betfair the chances of this happening looked much greater and the betting trades that were taking place had this at a 71.4% chance. That’s now hovering about…

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NEW PB / Polling Matters podcast. Can May win the ‘meaningful vote and what happens if she doesn’t?’

NEW PB / Polling Matters podcast. Can May win the ‘meaningful vote and what happens if she doesn’t?’

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On this week’s podcast the Polling Matters team, including the returning Rob Vance, discuss evolving public opinion on May’s Brexit deal and what happens if she does not win the ‘meaningful vote’ next month. You can listen here: Follow this week’s guests Follow @KeiranPedley Follow @LeoBarasi Follow @RobVance Tweet

Now Corbyn and TMay are scrapping over whether the BBC or ITV hosts the Brexit debate

Now Corbyn and TMay are scrapping over whether the BBC or ITV hosts the Brexit debate

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Corbyn’s position is a bit lame in the age of catch-up TV The BBC is reporting that both Corbyn and TMay have accepted invites to take part in a Brexit debate. Only problem is that the former wants it to be on ITV while the latter prefers the BBC. The BBC debate would take place at 8pm a week on Sunday Saturday while ITV’s would stage it an hour later at 9pm. “Mr Corbyn claimed he preferred ITV’s bid out…

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The terrible truth about Brexit

The terrible truth about Brexit

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Young lawyers are given eclectic reading recommendations. I think the idea is to broaden their minds and to make them more commercially aware. Or perhaps their mentors just think they should read more. Some of the suggested reading, regrettably, includes business management books. The least scientific and most cynical books tend to be most useful in practice. I have often drawn on the early chapters of Parkinson’s Law in meetings. Who Moved My Blackberry is a how-to manual for all too…

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TMay is the odds-on favourite to win a TV Brexit debate with Corbyn

TMay is the odds-on favourite to win a TV Brexit debate with Corbyn

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TMay is the betting favourite to overcome Labour leader Corbyn if the two clash in an TV debate on the proposed Brexit deal. The online bookmaker Betway, sides with the Prime Minster at 4/6 over Corbyn, 11/10, with the pair expected to exchange views ahead of Parliament’s vote on the Brexit deal on Tuesday 11th December. Outside of the big two, it’s the Scottish National Party that Betway believe could be involved in the debate, with leader Nicola Sturgeon just…

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Survation-Daily Mail poll finds growing support for TMay’s Brexit deal

Survation-Daily Mail poll finds growing support for TMay’s Brexit deal

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Now more support than oppose The big overnight Brexit news is a Survation poll for the Daily Mail conducted yesterday which is being splashed all over its front page as can be seen above. The big news is that on comparative questions there has been a significant increase in those supporting the deal compared with similar questions which were put by Survation in a poll on November 15th. Clearly this is good news for Theresa May who has started to…

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Punters rate TMay’s chances of getting the Brexit deal agreed by MPs this years at 14%

Punters rate TMay’s chances of getting the Brexit deal agreed by MPs this years at 14%

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This represents something of a recovery! Unlike one or two of her predecessors I am not aware that Theresa May follows political betting and the way the odds are changing. If she had have done she would have noticed about 6pm this evening the chances of her getting the brexit vote agreed before the end of the year was down to 3.3%. Since then has been something of a recovery and now on Betfair it’s trading about 14%. But we…

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