Why Corbyn could be the one to extend Article 50 in the New Year

Why Corbyn could be the one to extend Article 50 in the New Year

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The Brexit vote could give him a few days of government – what would he do with it? FTPA doesn’t just stand for Fixed Term Parliaments Act; it can equally be Freedom to Piss About, which seems appropriate given the casually reckless approach taken to the Brexit ratification process by just about all sides. The government willingly risks no deal as a bargaining tactic to better the chances of its own deal being agreed; Labour willingly risks it to increase…

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New Northern Ireland polling suggests that a no deal Brexit could lead to what the IRA never achieved – a united Ireland

New Northern Ireland polling suggests that a no deal Brexit could lead to what the IRA never achieved – a united Ireland

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How the Brexit hard-liners are gambling with the Union Generally speaking Northern Ireland gets ignored in national polls which are confined to England, Wales and Scotland. This is because the party structure in the province is very different with most people voting on sectarian lines. This Northern Ireland polling from Lucid Talk seeks to test opinion on possible impact of a no deal Brexit on the future of the province and whether there is more or less support for unification…

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Dangerous corner. Where would we be now if Remain had won 52:48?

Dangerous corner. Where would we be now if Remain had won 52:48?

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The musical cigarette box played the Wedding March. Britain chose narrowly but decisively to vote to leave the EU. One of the frustrations with the universe that we live in is that we never get to see what would have happened if things had panned out differently.   What if the country had chosen differently? Imagine if Remain had won by the same narrow margin.  Where would we be now? Here’s one possibility… David Cameron had got so far sketching…

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Corbyn’s LAB goes into 2019 with six fewer MPs than it had at GE2017

Corbyn’s LAB goes into 2019 with six fewer MPs than it had at GE2017

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https://twitter.com/jessicaelgot/status/1075801860878073856 This could impact on upcoming key votes The past 24 hours have been bad for LAB’s seat numbers in the House of Commons. First of all there was the conviction of the Peterborough MP for conspiring to pervert the course of justice and today we have the resignation from the Party of Ivan Lewis. In his resignation letter Lewis cited some of the anti-semitism rhetoric that has been coming from the leadership. Given the crucial Brexit votes that we…

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The reason the Corbyn “stupid row” continues to make news is because many don’t believe his denial

The reason the Corbyn “stupid row” continues to make news is because many don’t believe his denial

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This doesn't look like the right strategy for the LAB leader. Corbyn hits out at media over 'stupid woman' row. https://t.co/CGqjw0avA2 — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) December 20, 2018 If he’d just apologised yesterday the story would now be dead Mike Smithson Follow @MSmithsonPB Tweet

Which will happen first? TMay to step down as PM or the UK to leave the EU?

Which will happen first? TMay to step down as PM or the UK to leave the EU?

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I rather like this betting market which asks which of the two events will happen first – Theresa May ceasing to be Prime Minister or the UK actually leaving the EU. With uncertainties over both events this is quite a good match. My guess as we get closer to the March 29th article 50 deadline that this will see a fair bit of activity and no doubt the leave EU price will move to the favourite slot if the Theresa…

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It looks as though there could be by-election in an ultra marginal gained by LAB from CON at GE17

It looks as though there could be by-election in an ultra marginal gained by LAB from CON at GE17

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Fiona Onasanya: Peterborough MP guilty in speeding case – Could be by-election in seat gained by LAB from CON at GE17https://t.co/TetDWtgYmR — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) December 19, 2018 The last two general elections in Peterborough where the LAB MP has been found guilty of perverting the course of justice pic.twitter.com/6ebLldWPdx — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) December 19, 2018 What appears to be a very interesting by-election is in prospect following the conviction this afternoon of the Peterborough MP. She has been…

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