politicalbetting.com – Page 743 – The web's premier resource for political betting.

New polling finds just 28% of GE2017 LAB voters support the party’s stance on Brexit

2/1/2019 Mike Smithson Comments 0 Comment

And Corbyn slumps to a post-GE2017 YouGov leader rating low New polling data just made available on the YouGov website shows the scale of the gamble LAB is taking with the party’s stance on Brexit. To the question “Do you support or oppose the stance that the Labour party have taken towards Brexit?” GE2017 LAB voters split by 28% to 25% on whether they supported or opposed. This is an incredibly low proportion given how important Brexit dominates current politics…

Read More Read More

On his first day as a member of the US Senate WH2012 GOP nominee, Mitt Romney, fires a broadside at Donald Trump

2/1/2019 Mike Smithson Comments 0 Comment

Mitt Romney becomes a US senator today and begins with a broadside against Trump in the Washington Post. https://t.co/TGfyp8xxid pic.twitter.com/sk4eYPxjqZ — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) January 2, 2019 My 50/1 shot to be GOP nominee and 130/1 to win WH2020 In the Midterms in November the former governor of Massachusetts and WH2012 GOP nominee, Mitt Romney was elected with a huge majority to the US Senate for Utah. He takes up that seat today and has an article in the Washington…

Read More Read More

2019 opens with a bang and some leavers are getting aerated about the fireworks

1/1/2019 Mike Smithson Comments 0 Comment

Remainer partisanship re Sadiq Khan's council-tax-funded propaganda is a strong start to the new year pic.twitter.com/WRSxDX3jpT — John Rentoul (@JohnRentoul) January 1, 2019 Are you bloody kidding me? You put the EU flag on the London Eye on New Year’s Eve? WTAF? https://t.co/PNvWe7OhXy — Julia Hartley-Brewer (@JuliaHB1) January 1, 2019 There’s going to be a lot more of this before March 29th Mike Smithson Follow @MSmithsonPB Tweet

Since the end of October only one survey from a pollster other than YouGov has recorded a CON lead

1/1/2019 Mike Smithson Comments 0 Comment

All the others have had LAB leads or were tied There’s a new poll reported in the Times today from YouGov which has a Conservative lead albeit a reduced one of 2%. It has not yet been added to the Wikipedia table featured above of every published poll. When looking in detail at the list one thing is very striking and that is that the Conservatives leads are almost totally from YouGov. All the other polls bar one in early…

Read More Read More

As 2018 comes to an end Marf’s Cartoon of the year

31/12/2018 Mike Smithson Comments 0 Comment

We’ve not seen a Marf cartoon on PB for some time but this is her end of the year drawing for the Jewish Chronicle. Thanks Marf. It is fun. Mike Smithson Follow @MSmithsonPB Tweet

Elizabeth Warren’s WH2020 annoucement is bad news for Bernie

31/12/2018 Mike Smithson Comments 0 Comment

They both appeal to similar segments of the Dems base The big WH2020 news today is the announcement from Massachusetts Senator, Elizabeth Warren, that she’s putting her hat into the ring for the 2020 Democratic nomination She’s declared that she’s establishing an exploratory committee — the legal precursor to a run. This comes as other candidates, including several of her fellow senators, were reported to be making made final preparations for their own announcements. The news follows speculation that the…

Read More Read More

Just because Corbyn’s LAB almost closed a massive poll gap at GE17 is no guarantee that it’ll happen again

31/12/2018 Mike Smithson Comments 0 Comment

LAB’s got to stop looking at next time through the prism of 2017 The extraordinary performance at the last election of Labour continues to dominate thinking about the next one with an assumption in many quarters that because the party was able to come from a huge poll deficit to within 2.5% then the same will happen again. Labour activists rightly point to the fact that during a general election the party gets more equal media coverage and that is…

Read More Read More

A few general election constituency betting markets for your perusal

30/12/2018 TSE Comments 0 Comment

Ladbrokes have put up what I think are the first constituency markets for the next general election, I’ve always looked fondly at these markets, especially after the 2015 general election where there was a lot of profit in backing the Tories in the English marginals, and the SNP everywhere in Scotland. Chingford & Woodford Green and Richmond Park I think it is worth looking at both Greater London seats together. Demographics and Brexit are working against the Tories in London…

Read More Read More