With both CON and LAB having an interest in the Peterborough recall petition then the chances are that it will succeed

With both CON and LAB having an interest in the Peterborough recall petition then the chances are that it will succeed

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How the mechanics of this new process work The Commons Research department has just issued a new paper on how recall petitions actually work. This is now an integral part of the electoral process and there a strict rules for their operation, campaigning and spending limits. The returning officer for the constituency involved is deemed the “Petition Officer” and follows a strict set of instructions. This is, of course, a process that could involve an incumbent MP being forced out…

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This week’s podcast focuses on Labour including why an early election is better for the party and how it should respond to TIG

This week’s podcast focuses on Labour including why an early election is better for the party and how it should respond to TIG

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On this week’s podcast, Keiran Pedley is joined by former adviser to Tony Blair and Gordon Brown, Theo Bertram. Theo shares some stories of working in Number 10, gives his thoughts on Labour’s current situation (and whether Corbyn can bounce back again) and discusses how Labour should manage the many problems they currently face. Listen to this week’s episode below: Follow this week’s guests, Follow @KeiranPedley Follow @TheoBertram Tweet

Next step for Peterborough MP Fiona Onasanya – facing a recall petition which could trigger a by-election

Next step for Peterborough MP Fiona Onasanya – facing a recall petition which could trigger a by-election

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Whoever wins a by-election can thank Nick Clegg This morning the Peterborough MP Fiona Onasanya, who won the seat for LAB from CON at GE2017, lost her appeal against her conviction and is now facing recall petition. This was a process introduced by Nick Clegg during the coalition and allows constituents to demand that their MP be recalled provided that 10% of the total numbers on the electoral in the constituency demand one and one of a number of conditions…

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Whilst the Tories plough on totally divided over Brexit LAB has its worst polling month since GE2017

Whilst the Tories plough on totally divided over Brexit LAB has its worst polling month since GE2017

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If ever there was a period when LAB should be making headways in the polls then surely it has to be at the moment well that always continue to be divided on brexit. The latest David Cowling table above showing the monthly polling averages for each party has LAB at 35%, the worst since the general election. February was also only the second time since then that Corbyn’s party has failed to have at least one polling lead. Generally all…

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John Hickenlooper, my 270/1 longshot for WH2020, becomes the latest to put his hat into the ring

John Hickenlooper, my 270/1 longshot for WH2020, becomes the latest to put his hat into the ring

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It was back nearly a year ago that I suggested that the ex-Governor of Colorado, John Hickenlooper, might be a good longshot bet for WH2016. I know several PBers are also on him a very long odds. I think that his appeal is that he is total antidote to Trump who has proved himself a successful election winner in Colorado where he’s now stepped down after two terms as governor. I think Trump would have a tougher job riling him…

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Trump’s WH2016 victory could be the last time the national popular vote loser becomes President

Trump’s WH2016 victory could be the last time the national popular vote loser becomes President

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Map 2702win.com State moves are afoot to by-pass the electoral college We all know that in November 2016 Donald Trump won the White House Race even though in terms of the national popular vote he had 3.1% fewer votes overall than Hillary Clinton. This was not the first time this has happened. The actual decision on who should be President is determined by members of the electoral College which features in the map above. The numbers in each box are…

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Why Labour should win Newport West by-election

Why Labour should win Newport West by-election

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Government gains are exceptionally rare, even with poll leads Byelectionitis is not a condition that usually afflicts the Conservative Party and, to be fair, nor is it doing so now. The demands of government and particularly Brexit are inevitably occupying the attention of the Party and its members, both activist and elected. All the same, the flurry of positive polls for the Tories since the TIG split suggesting a Con lead of around 7-8% over Labour begs the question of…

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A second referendum conducted under AV maybe the only way to end the Brexit impasse

A second referendum conducted under AV maybe the only way to end the Brexit impasse

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If Parliament is unable to come to a resolution on Brexit then perhaps they might send it back to the people. Recents events makes me think we’re headed for another referendum on all things Brexit, so the only question and options is what will be on the ballot paper. Why I think a Remain option will end up on the ballot paper is twofold. Firstly Parliament has to legislate for another referendum and given the the make up of Parliament…

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