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This week’s podcast focuses on Labour including why an early election is better for the party and how it should respond to TIG

5/3/2019 TSE Comments 0 Comment

On this week’s podcast, Keiran Pedley is joined by former adviser to Tony Blair and Gordon Brown, Theo Bertram. Theo shares some stories of working in Number 10, gives his thoughts on Labour’s current situation (and whether Corbyn can bounce back again) and discusses how Labour should manage the many problems they currently face. Listen to this week’s episode below: Follow this week’s guests, Follow @KeiranPedley Follow @TheoBertram Tweet

Next step for Peterborough MP Fiona Onasanya – facing a recall petition which could trigger a by-election

5/3/2019 Mike Smithson Comments 0 Comment

Whoever wins a by-election can thank Nick Clegg This morning the Peterborough MP Fiona Onasanya, who won the seat for LAB from CON at GE2017, lost her appeal against her conviction and is now facing recall petition. This was a process introduced by Nick Clegg during the coalition and allows constituents to demand that their MP be recalled provided that 10% of the total numbers on the electoral in the constituency demand one and one of a number of conditions…

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Whilst the Tories plough on totally divided over Brexit LAB has its worst polling month since GE2017

5/3/2019 Mike Smithson Comments 0 Comment

If ever there was a period when LAB should be making headways in the polls then surely it has to be at the moment well that always continue to be divided on brexit. The latest David Cowling table above showing the monthly polling averages for each party has LAB at 35%, the worst since the general election. February was also only the second time since then that Corbyn’s party has failed to have at least one polling lead. Generally all…

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John Hickenlooper, my 270/1 longshot for WH2020, becomes the latest to put his hat into the ring

4/3/2019 Mike Smithson Comments 0 Comment

It was back nearly a year ago that I suggested that the ex-Governor of Colorado, John Hickenlooper, might be a good longshot bet for WH2016. I know several PBers are also on him a very long odds. I think that his appeal is that he is total antidote to Trump who has proved himself a successful election winner in Colorado where he’s now stepped down after two terms as governor. I think Trump would have a tougher job riling him…

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Trump’s WH2016 victory could be the last time the national popular vote loser becomes President

4/3/2019 Mike Smithson Comments 0 Comment

Map 2702win.com State moves are afoot to by-pass the electoral college We all know that in November 2016 Donald Trump won the White House Race even though in terms of the national popular vote he had 3.1% fewer votes overall than Hillary Clinton. This was not the first time this has happened. The actual decision on who should be President is determined by members of the electoral College which features in the map above. The numbers in each box are…

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Why Labour should win Newport West by-election

4/3/2019 David Herdson Comments 0 Comment

Government gains are exceptionally rare, even with poll leads Byelectionitis is not a condition that usually afflicts the Conservative Party and, to be fair, nor is it doing so now. The demands of government and particularly Brexit are inevitably occupying the attention of the Party and its members, both activist and elected. All the same, the flurry of positive polls for the Tories since the TIG split suggesting a Con lead of around 7-8% over Labour begs the question of…

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A second referendum conducted under AV maybe the only way to end the Brexit impasse

3/3/2019 TSE Comments 0 Comment

If Parliament is unable to come to a resolution on Brexit then perhaps they might send it back to the people. Recents events makes me think we’re headed for another referendum on all things Brexit, so the only question and options is what will be on the ballot paper. Why I think a Remain option will end up on the ballot paper is twofold. Firstly Parliament has to legislate for another referendum and given the the make up of Parliament…

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Why there has to be trust in a complaints procedure for it to be effective

3/3/2019 CycleFree Comments 0 Comment

It was barely 5 months ago that Dame Laura Cox issued her withering report on an entrenched culture within Parliament “cascading from the top down, of deference, subservience, acquiescence and silence, in which bullying and sexual harassment have been able to thrive and have long been tolerated and concealed.” Strong stuff. But despite token words of condemnation and promises to learn the lessons and implement the necessary changes, the report – let alone the promised actions – seem to have sunk…

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