It’s time we moved back to MPs choosing the party leader instead not members

It’s time we moved back to MPs choosing the party leader instead not members

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Having a leader who is not the choice of MPs will inevitably lead to problems Consider where British politics is quite likely to be in a few months time – LAB still being led by Corbyn who is opposed by most of his MPs and Johnson being the CON leader in spite of his relative lack of parliamentary support Both would be in their jobs because of their appeal to party members and neither command the support of their parliamentary…

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The picture of TMay that says it all on most of the front pages this morning

The picture of TMay that says it all on most of the front pages this morning

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Will she stay if Brexit doesn’t happen? It is not often that the papers are all at one over what is the big news of the day. Interestingly as well they mostly use the same picture of Theresa May to illustrate their stories and this, my guess, will go down as a match to the shots of Maggie Thatcher in the car as she was leaving Downing Street for the last time in November 1990. The problem with her withdrawal…

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The danger for TMay is that in wooing ERG hardliners she might be alienating LAB soft brexiteers and CON remainers

The danger for TMay is that in wooing ERG hardliners she might be alienating LAB soft brexiteers and CON remainers

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if Johnson or Raab is in charge of negotiations on future relationship with EU, which are more important some would say than the divorce talks, that relationship will be uber Brexity. So in wooing one important constituency to get her deal over the line, she has alienated… — Robert Peston (@Peston) March 27, 2019 This gets more complex by the hour Robert Peston makes a very strong point in his Tweets above about the difficulty TMay has in appealing to…

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The attention now turns to TMay’s attendance at the 1922 committee

The attention now turns to TMay’s attendance at the 1922 committee

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The speculation is that she’ll set out an exit timetable. This is from the Speccies, James Forsyth:- Speculation is rife that she will use the meeting to announce a timetable for her departure, though there’s no official line from Number 10 on this. I understand that Tory switchers are being told that Theresa May will go if the withdrawal agreement bill gets royal assent, which would have to be by May 22nd. This would, obviously, require meaningful vote 3 to…

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With a CON leadership contest perhaps imminent new Ipsos-MORI poll has good and bad news for Johnson

With a CON leadership contest perhaps imminent new Ipsos-MORI poll has good and bad news for Johnson

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Above is a chart just issued by Ipsos Mori on its latest polling on which of a number of leading politicians appear “Prime Ministerial”. Theresa May, clearly, gets a home advantage because she is the incumbent but Corbyn will not be happy with his numbers which are the worst of all in those who were polled. Johnson has the most positive rating  of all the prospective CON leaders 24% but also has the biggest negative number  of  64%. This is…

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Johnson edges back to favourite on the day that TMay’s future could be decided

Johnson edges back to favourite on the day that TMay’s future could be decided

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Betdata.io chart of movement on the Betfair exchange On the face of it a lot could be decided today that will give us a clearer view of Britain’s and Theresa May’s political Futures. The two are clearly interlinked. With even some of her most hostile opponents within the parliamentary party now supporting her deal the prime minister is facing her backbenchers this afternoon when it’s widely expected that she’ll be pressed strongly to give an indication of her exit date….

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The first thing Trump’s likely to do when Jo Biden finally declares is to dub the former VP “copycat”

The first thing Trump’s likely to do when Jo Biden finally declares is to dub the former VP “copycat”

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The man who copied almost word for word a Neil Kinnock ad A new US  poll has Joe Biden beating Trump by 7% in a WH2020 match-up which puts him in the best position of all the Democrats who are seeking the nomination. In the RCP polling average he’s 5.8% ahead of his closest rival  even though he has yet to formally declare. In the betting he’s favourite although the top 4 are all within three points. Of course Biden,…

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What can we expect from the planned Brexit inquiry

What can we expect from the planned Brexit inquiry

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A look at what’s happened before In January 2004 the Hutton report into Dr David Kelly’s death was awaited with anticipation. The hearings had put the actions of politicians, civil servants, journalists, senior BBC management under a forensic scrutiny they would not normally expect. The Iraq war – the inquiry’s bloody context – had turned into a desperate civil war. No WMD had been found. The sad story of a respected scientist apparently bullied to his death as part of a greater…

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