The big post Euro election question is whether the Westminster polls will revert to normal?

The big post Euro election question is whether the Westminster polls will revert to normal?

Comments 0 Comment

New .@YouGov – 17th May sees the CON+LAB aggregate drop below 50% CON 24% =1Lab : 24% -1BRX : 18%=LDem : 18% +2Grn : 6% -1UKIP : 2% =CHUK : 2% = — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) May 19, 2019 Above is the latest YouGov polling with the most extraordinary Westminster voting figures that I can recall in recent times. For four parties to be within six points of each other is extraordinary and for the CON+LAB aggregate not to exceed…

Read More Read More

With a CON leadership contest in the offing a look at what makes a good leader

With a CON leadership contest in the offing a look at what makes a good leader

Comments 0 Comment

So the race is on, with likely as many contenders as at your average Grand National. Will it be a dyed in the wool Leaver? A born again or a politically convenient one? Blessed by the ERG? A Remainer? Cabinet member or backbencher? And will it even matter given the government’s tiny majority, at the DUP’s pleasure? Obsessed as they are by Brexit, Tory MPs and members have forgotten that a person’s stance on this perennially neuralgic issue is not…

Read More Read More

The latest Euro polls find BRX reinforcing its position with the LDs starting to nudge LAB out of second place

The latest Euro polls find BRX reinforcing its position with the LDs starting to nudge LAB out of second place

Comments 0 Comment

New New @ComRes Euro voting intention for S Mirror / S Express finds CON on 9% seven points behind the LDs Brexit P 31% (+4)Lab 23% (-2)LD 16% (+2)Con 9% (-4)Grn 9% (-)CUK 4% (-2)SNP 4% (+1)UKIP 2% (-1)PC 1% (-) — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) May 18, 2019 YouGov/Datapraxis poll for the Euros Best for Britain/Hope Not Hate puts LDs in second place with the Tories on fifthBREX 34LD 17LAB 15GRE 11CON 9CHUK 4UKIP 3SNP 3PC 1Other 3 Sample size…

Read More Read More

Oh the humiliation! CHUK not even listed as a runner on the Euros spread-betting markets

Oh the humiliation! CHUK not even listed as a runner on the Euros spread-betting markets

Comments 0 Comment

So much is going on in UK politics at the moment that it is hard to recall that just a month ago the new Party formed by breakaway CON and LAB MPs, Change UK, was talking about it taking over the Lib Dems. From reports at the time it considered itself to be the powerful force and were treating Cable’s party as almost supplicants in any relationship. The new grouping didn’t contest the local elections on May 2nd but their…

Read More Read More

Why Revoke is now very much on the table

Why Revoke is now very much on the table

Comments 0 Comment

May’s departure and a flight to the extremes aids stopping Brexit A zombie government will bring a zombie Withdrawal Agreement back to parliament next month, and in true zombie style, it will get bashed and still not really die. Ever since the first Meaningful Vote in January, when the government lost by well over 200 votes, Theresa May has been locked in a political vice where she couldn’t countenance No Deal, couldn’t accept No Brexit but couldn’t deliver any Brexit…

Read More Read More

Boost for Johnson in the first CON membership poll since TMay announced her exit timetable

Boost for Johnson in the first CON membership poll since TMay announced her exit timetable

Comments 0 Comment

? ? ? New YouGov poll of Tory members for @thetimes puts @BorisJohnson well out in front(Though he is also bottom choice for a sizeable group) – Johnson would prefer not to be frontrunner – Raab in strong position– Poor Hancock Loads more detail: https://t.co/HjTbrKZmS4 pic.twitter.com/MUQ5Ij1cS9 — Matt Chorley (@MattChorley) May 17, 2019 His biggest hurdle’s still getting through the MPs round Quick off the mark we now have the first YouGov poll of CON members following the news that…

Read More Read More

The Ladbrokes 7/2 that the LDs will come top in London looks a good value bet

The Ladbrokes 7/2 that the LDs will come top in London looks a good value bet

Comments 0 Comment

Today’s YouGov/Times Euros poll with a 7k+ sample has LAB on 15% nationally below the LDs who are now second in the race. The Tories on 9% are fifth behind the Greens. All this should help the LDs underpin their claim to be the strongest anti-Brexit party in the three-way battle in England between them and CHUK and the Greens. In Scotland the strongest anti-Brexit party is the SNP and in Wales PC. Looking at the betting the Ladbrokes London…

Read More Read More

The Con-Lab Brexit talks are dead and the parties should say so

The Con-Lab Brexit talks are dead and the parties should say so

Comments 0 Comment

The differences are unbridgeable and any deal unratifiable Like a sketch show parody of a Victorian dinner crossed with Weekend at Bernie’s, the negotiators in the Con-Lab Brexit negotiations have been determined to maintain the pretence that all is still well despite the talks having died some time during the soup course; it’s just that everyone is too polite to say so. That pretence has finally begun to break down as both the realities of the talks themselves and the…

Read More Read More