Once upon a time there was a stubborn female PM annoying the hell out of her colleagues. A junior Minister was even overheard calling her “a cow” and wishing she would resign. She was determinedly pursuing and arguing for an initially popular pledge – abolition of the rates – by means of a ferociously unpopular policy: the poll tax. No-one was convinced. Tory MPs looked nervously at their majorities, their annoyed constituents and wondered why she would not listen. A…
If as anticipated the Brexit party wins the European elections well ahead of the Conservatives then I expect the discussion will move towards who will be best placed to win the support of the Brexit Party’s voters and many will say Boris Johnson but that will be a mistake, here’s why. Nigel Farage would ruthlessly exploit the past comments of Boris, for example the pre referendum comments by Boris Johnson about ‘support[ing] a second referendum on Britain’s relationship with the…
Betdata.io chart of movement on the Betfair exchange In 2005 DDavis had more public MPs supporters than actual voters Just a day after Theresa May’s announcement that she is stepping down as CON leader and prime minister and even though it is a bank holiday weekend the fight for the succession has begun. The first stage is the MP ballots to decide which two names will actually go to the membership in the postal election. Ahead of these we get…
A glimpse into the next four years (maybe) Jess Philips had been to Number Ten before but not like this. Not in front of the microphones. Not at the centre of attention. Not as Prime Minister. Yet Prime Minister she was, newly returned from the Palace where the king had asked her to form a government and she’d said yes. Of course she had: for the first time in over a decade, Britain had a clear majority government. For the…
Final table for a few hours. 132 councils with their 2016 remain %. Sorted by the increase in turnout yesterday compared to last euros. pic.twitter.com/kXxO1jhawa — Patrick Heneghan (@PJHeneghan) May 24, 2019 This is a very useful piece of work and will be invaluable on Sunday night when the results come in. Mike Smithson Follow @MSmithsonPB Tweet
Betdata.io chart of movement on the Betfair exchange But will he suffer the Tory front-runner curse? This morning’s announcement by Mrs May that she is Stepping down did not come as a surprise and indeed there has been a lot of activity over her replacement over the past few weeks. On Betfair, the betting exchange where it is punters exchanging bets between themselves not the bookmakers who fix the odds, the former Foreign Secretary and Mayor of London is now…
The results have been verified. 28,438 votes were counted with a turnout of 30.5% in Ashfield pic.twitter.com/BEKjlq1ojZ — Ashfield Council (@ADCAshfield) May 24, 2019 Although there has been no exit or other polling there has been a mass of data from the local authority areas that began verifying the ballots overnight. The big picture so far is in the headline – there’s a correlation between the percentage of those who voted yesterday and what the area did at the referendum….