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A cunning ruse to persuade Corbyn to give Boris Johnson his early election or a damning indictment of the Cummings & Johnson strategy?

9/9/2019 TSE Comments 0 Comment

Exc: No10 has seen polling that means if there was an election now, Boris Johnson would do worse than Theresa May, according to Jason Stein, who was a Tory special advisor and Amber Rudd aide until Saturday night Here’s what he told me for a Sky News interview: pic.twitter.com/bDszzB2Ky7 — Sam Coates Sky (@SamCoatesSky) September 9, 2019 Conservative MPs won’t want an early election if this polling is accurate Sky News have an interesting story for anyone betting on or…

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Changing the Prime Minister might be the only way

9/9/2019 TSE Comments 0 Comment

One thing the existing House of Commons can agree on (it can’t on anything else) is that it doesn’t want No Deal. It’s now voted several times to this effect and, in fact, it’s as determined to prevent No Deal as the Government is to deliver Brexit by 31st October at all costs. It has been trying to do everything it can to stop it: delaying a General Election, challenging the proroguing of Parliament, and, now, passing the Hillary Benn…

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NEW PB / Polling Matters podcast. Where do we go from here and what do the public make of it all?

8/9/2019 TSE Comments 0 Comment

After the most chaotic week in Westminster since the last one, Keiran Pedley and Leo Barasi sit down and discuss how it is all playing out in the court of public opinion and where we go from here. Listen to the podcast below: Follow this week’s guests: Follow @KeiranPedley Follow @LeoBarasi Tweet

Fingering the index. A proposed technical change that is hugely important

8/9/2019 TSE Comments 0 Comment

Sir David Norgrove, Chair of @ukstatsauth, said: "We welcome the Chancellor’s intention to consult on resolving current issues with the RPI. We continue to urge the Government and others to cease to use the RPI." https://t.co/PmxWytJkal — Office for National Statistics (ONS) (@ONS) September 4, 2019 There was some important news this week. You probably missed it in all the nonsense about Brexit. It is quite boring but that doesn’t excuse you from the responsibility of knowing about it. This news…

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Boris Johnson becomes Rudderless as the Conservative broad church continues to fracture

7/9/2019 TSE Comments 0 Comment

I have resigned from Cabinet and surrendered the Conservative Whip. I cannot stand by as good, loyal moderate Conservatives are expelled. I have spoken to the PM and my Association Chairman to explain. I remain committed to the One Nation values that drew me into politics. pic.twitter.com/kYmZHbLMES — Amber Rudd (@AmberRuddUK) September 7, 2019 NEW: Amber Rudd tells the Sunday Times she resigned because there is “no evidence” that Boris Johnson is really seeking a deal with the EU —…

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A Government of Laws

7/9/2019 CycleFree Comments 0 Comment

A week is a long time in politics, as Harold Wilson reportedly said. This last week has been one such. On Sunday Michael Gove refused, explicitly, to say that the Government would abide by any law passed in Parliament to rule out a disorderly Brexit, describing such a law as “a pig in a poke”. During Tuesday’s debate when Gove’s pig in a poke – or the European Union (Withdrawal) (No. 6) Bill – made an appearance, Johnson confirmed that he…

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A Tory is value as Next PM

7/9/2019 David Herdson Comments 0 Comment

Boris is unlikely to be a 10-year PM but he might well win a GE This has not been Boris Johnson’s finest week. A series of humiliating defeats in Westminster, an underwhelming PMQs, harangued on the campaign trail, caught out using policemen for partisan ends and left to dangle in Number 10 without either an electoral escape or a means of leaving the EU by the foolishly promised 31 October. Of course, there may be some great grand plan cooked…

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What will next set of polls show? I have no idea

6/9/2019 TSE Comments 0 Comment

I saw this, cringed so hard, my feet shrank three sizes. https://t.co/VbgZAte8pA — TSE (@TSEofPB) September 6, 2019 Thinking about what to have for lunch. Large bucket of boneless (certainly spineless) JFC (Jeremy’s Frightened & Chicken) perhaps. pic.twitter.com/37t2GKmVOI — James Cleverly?? (@JamesCleverly) September 6, 2019 If chicken suits swung voters we wouldn't be in this mess (we'd be facing Chaos with Ed Miliband) pic.twitter.com/Hkq7MJvFhV — James Morris (@jamesdmorris) September 6, 2019 This afternoon a friend asked me what I thought…

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