Mayor of London Siobhan Benita? Don’t rule it out

Mayor of London Siobhan Benita? Don’t rule it out

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SV means the Lib Dems could pull off something extraordinary In the absence of big names and big characters, London politics has dropped off the media radar a bit. After the controversial Ken Livingstone and the future PM Boris Johnson, Sadiq Khan has been – spats with Donald Trump aside – a lower-profile mayor. Khan’s term ends, however, in less than eight months, when he’ll bid for re-election. Until recently, this was all-but assured. The Tory candidate, Shaun Bailey, looks…

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Corbyn’s Ipsos-MORI satisfaction ratings drop to the lowest for an opposition leader since it started in 1977

Corbyn’s Ipsos-MORI satisfaction ratings drop to the lowest for an opposition leader since it started in 1977

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NEW @IpsosMORI / @standardnews Jeremy Corbyn's leader satisfaction rating falls to worst ever achieved by a leader of the opposition in our series – dating back to 1977. Satisfied 16%Dissatisfied 76%Net -60 pic.twitter.com/MYGNDpfghz — Keiran Pedley (@keiranpedley) September 20, 2019 Hardly the platform for an election campaign Ipsos-MORI, has been polling UK politics since 1977, and throughout that time has been asking in exactly the same manner if those sampled are satisfied/dissatisfied with a range of political leaders. We had…

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The real issue, surely, is that Johnson does not have the confidence of the Commons and should have quit when the Benn bill passed

The real issue, surely, is that Johnson does not have the confidence of the Commons and should have quit when the Benn bill passed

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Anne Twomey, who literally wrote the book on the prerogative, has written an important blog post that cuts through much of the legal machinations: When is prorogation ‘improper’?https://t.co/GR7rMJ6Gkt The answer: if the government is seeking to avoid a vote of no confidence — Jack Simson Caird (@jasimsoncaird) September 19, 2019 The blog post above, which is well worth reading in full, from a leading academic expert on the prerogative articulates something which has not really been taken up before. The…

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New Democrat nominee polling finds Warren’s generates the most enthusiasm

New Democrat nominee polling finds Warren’s generates the most enthusiasm

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    In general almost all the Democratic nominee polling that we’ve seen this year has had 76 year old Joe Biden in the lead. This has been a been underpinned by the findings that he’s seen as the one most likely to beat Trump.  Even so it is being suggested that his position is not as strong as it might appear. The growing doubts about the former VP are basically because of ongoing gaffes, his age and little things…

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Ipsos-MORI has the LDs at a post-GE2010 high with a big increase in awareness of Joe Swinson if not her net satisfaction figures

Ipsos-MORI has the LDs at a post-GE2010 high with a big increase in awareness of Joe Swinson if not her net satisfaction figures

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NEW @IpsosMORI /@standardnews POLL Good news and bad news for Boris Johnson. THREAD Good news for Johnson. Cons lead by 10pts Headline voting intention (likely voters) Conservatives 34%Labour 24%Lib Dem 20%Brexit Party 9%Green 6%SNP 4Others 4% Cons were +2 in June* — Keiran Pedley (@keiranpedley) August 1, 2019 New @IpsosMORI / @standardnews Satisfaction with Jo Swinson's performance as Lib Dem leader Satisfied 35% (+7)Dissatisfied 40% (+12)Don't know 25% (-19)Net -5 (-5) 79% of Lib Dem supporters satisfied. Changes from July….

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The first full poll after Swinson’s Brexit gamble sees the LDs up 4 ahead of LAB into second place

The first full poll after Swinson’s Brexit gamble sees the LDs up 4 ahead of LAB into second place

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Today’s YouGov: Con 32%= LD 23+4 Lab 21-2 BXP 14= There is a new YouGov poll in the Times this morning which is the first one to have taken place since the Lib Dems at their conference voted to stop Brexit even without a referendum. The figures are above and will give a lot of reassurance to the new Lib Dem leader, Jo Swinson, with what has been widely criticised as a massive gamble in terms of policy. It has however got…

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Latest YouGov favourability polling shows the enormous mountain that Corbyn has to scale

Latest YouGov favourability polling shows the enormous mountain that Corbyn has to scale

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It was 3 years ago that YouGov began issuing leader favourability ratings a move that followed suggestions from me. I’ve long been in the leader ratings matter much more than voting intention numbers camp and the format I most like is when poll samples are asked whether they favour a particular political leader or not. The numbers for Johnson speak for themselves and the biggest electoral pointer, surely, is how Corbyn is currently perceived. That 70% view the LAB leader…

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