MPs back the deal but block the timetable
House of Commons: What do we want? A DEAL When do we want it? NOT RIGHT NOW — Election Maps UK (@ElectionMapsUK) October 22, 2019 https://twitter.com/eurocast_ox/status/1186712310552944640?s=19
Some in the Shadow Cabinet want an early election but Corbyn, surely, will want to wait
Chart of Betfair market from betdata.io According to this Guardian Tweet there was discussion at the Shadow cabinet this morning over the timing of the general election with one or two pressing for an early contest. As has been observed many times we are in a unique situation over this. Sure Johnson wants one as soon as possible because his government is in a minority and he’ll struggle to get anything through. Unfortunately for him the timing is no longer…
The loss of DUP support means Johnson needs to make 10 more gains from LAB to stay at Number 10
The most significant, though, hardly surprising development during Saturday’s special Brexit debate was that the DUP with its ten MPs has totally switched to opposing the government. It is hard to see how that can be changed certainly by the current PM. This was not a mistake that TMay would have made. The sense of betrayal coming from hardline unionist communities in Northern Ireland heightens the fact that Johnson’s readiness to ignore and ditch the key element of unionism about…
Johnson’s problem is that his actions since becoming PM have led to him being totally mistrusted and disbelieved
Clause 30 of the EU (Withdrawal Agreement) Bill. What happens if the Government doesn’t propose an extension? Parliament would have no say and we would exit the transition period on the 31 Dec 2020 even if a trade agreement hadn’t been reached by then with the EU; ie no deal. pic.twitter.com/mbCAsrX0eB — Hilary Benn (@hilarybennmp) October 21, 2019 Why getting the timetable motion through is going to be a struggle Above is Hillary Benn on a key issue of which…
Views on Brexit, the deal and the negotiations – latest YouGov polling
Like parliament voters remain very divided Mike Smithson Follow @MSmithsonPB Tweet
If there’s no immediate General Election then the next big electoral test could be a Buckingham by-election
John Bercow, as we all know, is due to step down as Speaker on October 31st coinciding with the article 50 deadline for Britain’s exit from the EU. It has become customary, one of those unwritten parts of the constitution, for the outgoing Speaker to be elevated to a peerage and I guess that will happen with Bercow. What would make a by-election hard to call is that the constituency has not seen a proper General Election fight with all…
Mitch McConnell’s failure to back Trump on Syria should be worrying for the White House
The total focus on Brexit over the past few days has taken the attention away from United States politics where the ongoing saga in relation to Donald Trump is becoming even more perilous for the 73 year old. There’ve been two big developments over the weekend and I suggest that something might possibly be happening that might not be good for the incumbent. Firstly there is the Washington Post article by Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell, above, in which he…
A 3% return in a little over two months?
This market from Paddy Power seems to me a guaranteed way to get a 3% return in a little over two months. Like a 2019 general election I think we’re running out of time to hold one because the logistical challenges of holding an election in the run up to Christmas are insurmountable. To hold a 2019 referendum will require primary legislation and the electoral commission guidelines are that it will around twenty-one weeks from announcing a referendum to actually…