MPs approve Letwin amendment to the Brexit deal This amendment delays approval of the deal until the necessary legislation is passed Ayes: 322Noes: 306Majority: 16 Live updates: https://t.co/gQkqnzl6R4 #BrexitVote pic.twitter.com/lfsqqiw5pU — BBC Politics (@BBCPolitics) October 19, 2019
His deal won’t pass, even if the numbers are there Boris Johnson has a problem and it’s not the one that most of the Westminster Village spent yesterday pondering. It is, however, one that gives the lie to the aphorism of the PM’s namesake, the 36th president of the United States, that “the first rule of politics is that its practitioners need to be able to count”. It’s not: that’s the second rule. The first rule is that its practitioners…
Betfair have a market up on their exchange tomorrow’s big vote in the Commons and the Betdata.io chart above shows the movement since 1430 this afternoon. As can be seen the betting consensus is moving to the motion getting through. The market rules state that: “ If the House of Commons vote through the government motion on a EU withdrawal agreement then Yes will be settled as a winner. In the event of a tie the market will be settled…
The betting odds above from Ladbrokes were correct as at 1345. Things might have changed since. Given how many different views and MPs counts estimates that we are seeing the lack of a clear view on the betting markers is hardly surprising. The outcome is clearly on a knife. What would really add to the drama would have this as a tie with the Speaker making the casting vote just eleven days before he steps down. One thing that hasn’t…
A guest slot from Timothy Hinton I have consistently misunderstood the Brexit options open to the UK as existing on a continuum, from the softest Single Market + Customs Union extreme on one end to the hardest No Deal extreme on the other. The choices made by Boris Johnson, and the relative speed with which the UK and EU were able to reach agreement on a radically different deal, have made it clear that the main options have been much…
Betfair exchange prices on betdata.io chart As can be seen in the chart the day has seen a lot of movement in the £2.5m Betfair exchange main Brexit market on whether the UK will leave by the end of the month. Clearly the big risk for punters here is that this doesn’t go through the Commons on Saturday and we could see the Benn Act trigger which could delay things. Even if the vote is backing Johnson on Saturday there…
“When I use a word,” Humpty Dumpty said, in rather a scornful tone, “it means just what I choose it to mean – neither more nor less.” “The question is,” said Alice, “whether you can make words mean so many different things.” “The question is,” said Humpty Dumpty, “which is to be master – that’s all.” Has Humpty (oops, sorry, the PM) gone and done it? Has he actually got Britain a deal to Brexit before 31 October? Well, it appears he…
Now it is up to the Commons and the meaningful vote brexit: caught between a cock and a hard face pic.twitter.com/8aOkfH7Vmh — Sarah Dempster (@Dempster2000) October 17, 2019 So the person now calling for a Brexit extension is… @Nigel_Farage. Brexit has gone full circle. He wants an election on PM’s deal. — Paul Brand (@PaulBrandITV) October 17, 2019 2018: Northern Ireland inside the Customs Union + economic border in the Irish Sea = outrageous & unacceptable infringement on UK’s integrity…