The loss of DUP support means Johnson needs to make 10 more gains from LAB to stay at Number 10

The loss of DUP support means Johnson needs to make 10 more gains from LAB to stay at Number 10

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The most significant, though, hardly surprising development during Saturday’s special Brexit debate was that the DUP with its ten MPs has totally switched to opposing the government. It is hard to see how that can be changed certainly by the current PM. This was not a mistake that TMay would have made. The sense of betrayal coming from hardline unionist communities in Northern Ireland heightens the fact that Johnson’s readiness to ignore and ditch the key element of unionism about…

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Johnson’s problem is that his actions since becoming PM have led to him being totally mistrusted and disbelieved

Johnson’s problem is that his actions since becoming PM have led to him being totally mistrusted and disbelieved

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Clause 30 of the EU (Withdrawal Agreement) Bill. What happens if the Government doesn’t propose an extension? Parliament would have no say and we would exit the transition period on the 31 Dec 2020 even if a trade agreement hadn’t been reached by then with the EU; ie no deal. pic.twitter.com/mbCAsrX0eB — Hilary Benn (@hilarybennmp) October 21, 2019 Why getting the timetable motion through is going to be a struggle Above is Hillary Benn on a key issue of which…

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If there’s no immediate General Election then the next big electoral test could be a Buckingham by-election

If there’s no immediate General Election then the next big electoral test could be a Buckingham by-election

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John Bercow, as we all know, is due to step down as Speaker on October 31st coinciding with the article 50 deadline for Britain’s exit from the EU. It has become customary, one of those unwritten parts of the constitution, for the outgoing Speaker to be elevated to a peerage and I guess  that will happen with Bercow. What would make a by-election  hard to call is that the constituency has not seen a proper General Election fight with all…

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Mitch McConnell’s failure to back Trump on Syria should be worrying for the White House

Mitch McConnell’s failure to back Trump on Syria should be worrying for the White House

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The total focus on Brexit over the past few days has taken the attention away from United States politics where the ongoing saga in relation to Donald Trump is becoming even more perilous for the 73 year old. There’ve been two big developments over the weekend and I suggest that something might possibly be happening that might not be good for the incumbent. Firstly there is the Washington Post article by Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell, above, in which he…

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A 3% return in a little over two months?

A 3% return in a little over two months?

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This market from Paddy Power seems to me a guaranteed way to get a 3% return in a little over two months. Like a 2019 general election I think we’re running out of time to hold one because the logistical challenges of holding an election in the run up to Christmas are insurmountable. To hold a 2019 referendum will require primary legislation and the electoral commission guidelines are that it will around twenty-one weeks from announcing a referendum to actually…

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Just a little bit of history repeating?

Just a little bit of history repeating?

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Who'd make best Prime Minister? Johnson 43% (+2)Corbyn 21% (-)Not sure 32% (-2) Leavers 73-6 for JohnsonWomen 38-20 Johnson18-24 yr olds 32-29 JohnsonWorking class 44-17 JohnsonMiddle class 42-23 JohnsonLondon 32-29 Johnson Put that in your twitter pipe & smoke it … — Matt Goodwin (@GoodwinMJ) October 16, 2019 Why I’m not betting on a Tory landslide at the next election. In recent weeks it seems we get regular polling, like the tweet atop this article, on leadership ratings and preferred…

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Boris Johnson complies with the surrender bill, ditches all over the country are feeling lied to now

Boris Johnson complies with the surrender bill, ditches all over the country are feeling lied to now

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Like prorogation this looks like a classic Dom strategy but I expect Boris Johnson to be submissive to the courts early next week https://t.co/pwkQqnJYNp — TSE (@TSEofPB) October 19, 2019 It’s likely that this will end up in court on Monday. The case in the Scottish courts may well consider that this doesn’t not comply with the spirit of the Benn Act. — Paul Brand (@PaulBrandITV) October 19, 2019 https://twitter.com/davidallengreen/status/1185663109761060864 https://twitter.com/davidallengreen/status/1185664863856664577?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw%7Ctwcamp%5Etweetembed&ref_url=https%3A%2F%2Fpoliticalbetting.vanillacommunity.com%2Fdiscussion%2F8086%2Fpoliticalbetting-com-blog-archive-johnson-has-till-11pm-to-send-the-letter-or-else-he-could-face%2Fp7 NEW: No 10 sources tell the Sunday Times that…

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