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As can be seen from the chart we have a new favourite in the betting for the Democratic nomination. The oldest man in the race, the Socialist senator from Vermont, Bernie Sanders, has now edged above Joe Biden in the betting to become the latest favourite. This has been driven by the latest set of polls from the early primary States where Sanders looks set to win both the Iowa caucuses on February 3rd and the New Hampshire primary the…

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Punters seem to think it is all over The frontrunner in the betting to succeed Corbyn, Keir Starmer, has formally launched his campaign and has seen his position in the betting rise even further. At his launch he was blunt about where LAB stands and the huge challenges ahead. According to the Guardian he said: “We’re focusing on the last general election, (but) we have now lost four general elections in a row. The next one will probably be in…

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Black swans apart, it’ll still be the biggest domestic issue of 2020 Brexit seems destined to end with a whimper not a bang. Indeed, after the failure of Mark Francois’ attempt to have Big Ben ring out the moment, it won’t even end with a bong. Three and a half years after the referendum, seven years after Cameron’s Bloomberg Speech and 32 years after Delors and Thatcher set the Anglo-European fissure in motion in their respective addresses to the TUC…

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In a move that steps up to even greater levels the amount being spent on the WH20202 campaign multi-billionaire and contender Mike Bloomberg has announced that his entire campaign organisation will be put at the disposal of whoever the nominee is should it fail to be him. This is no small deal. NBC News reports: Michael Bloomberg’s massive campaign apparatus and an army of some 500 staffers will march on through the general election in November even if he loses the…

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In political campaigns cash can make a huge difference So far I don’t think there has been a mention at all on PB of Tom Steyer even though he is still very much in the race for the Democratic nomination and is one of the select few who are still qualifying to take part in the TV debates. His approach throughout is to build up awareness by spending big first to reach the polling thresholds to take part in the…

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The 2020 election will be decided on middle-class economic issues. If Democrats want to instead focus the debate on whether we should be tough on Iran, they will not win the 2020 election. — Frank Luntz (@FrankLuntz) January 9, 2020