“Continuity Corbyn” contender Long-Bailey gets the worst ratings in new LAB leadership poll

“Continuity Corbyn” contender Long-Bailey gets the worst ratings in new LAB leadership poll

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Good numbers for Starmer While all the focus has been on Iowa the LAB leadership contest is trudging on with the postal ballot of the the selectorate not due until next month. This poll, NOT of selectorate members but the regular phone poll from Ipsos-MORI of GB adults, adds further to Starmer’s position and no doubt his team will be more than ready to make this available when the postal election starts. Labour has lost four general elections on the…

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Irish General Election 2020 : Predictions & Review (Final Part)

Irish General Election 2020 : Predictions & Review (Final Part)

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This is it. We’re at the point of no return, there’s no going back now. We’re had numerous articles, interviews, political shows, polls and retirements. The only stage left now is the official results! Which candidates are in the driving seat and which are feeling the pressure?, find out below. As per usual, I will covering the final few constituencies in alphabetical order. Mayo (Four Seats)Currently, the constituency of Mayo is represented by two TD’s from Fine Gael and two…

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With Biden now looking doomed Buttigieg looks a value bet to win New Hampshire

With Biden now looking doomed Buttigieg looks a value bet to win New Hampshire

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It’s third time unlucky for the ex-VP in Iowa Biden’s career in politics has been defined by his runs for the presidency which have seen him flop at the first fence in Iowa. In 1988 his bid came to an end in the state following him being ridiculed for plagiarising a Neil Kinnock election PPB in order to make a speech about himself. Two decades later in 2008 he pulled out of the race after failing to get a delegate…

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The Starmer juggernaut storms on and he’s now a 78% chance on Betfair

The Starmer juggernaut storms on and he’s now a 78% chance on Betfair

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So far, 264 CLPs have nominated candidates to be leader of the Labour Party. Keir Starmer: 154 Rebecca Long-Bailey: 70 Lisa Nandy: 28 Emily Thornberry: 12 pic.twitter.com/DPfceU7RXd — CLP Nominations (@CLPNominations) February 4, 2020 Unless LAB members vote in a very different way in the postal ballot compared with what is happening at the constituency party level or else Keir Starmer makes some massive cock-up between now and April 2nd then he is an absolute certainty to succeed Corbyn. One…

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First results from Iowa have Buttgieg in the lead

First results from Iowa have Buttgieg in the lead

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This appears to be based on the proportion of delegates that were elected. These are provisional and there are others results still to come. The totals are bad on 62% with 38% still to come. The surprise is how poorly Biden has done given he was leading in getting on for half of the final week polls. Mike Smithson

We may not have the Iowa results yet but punters think Biden was the big loser

We may not have the Iowa results yet but punters think Biden was the big loser

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From a 38% chance to 19% in just two weeks Hopefully we should get the Iowa results at some stage during the day. One thing that punters seem to agree on is that ex-VP and former favourite for the nomination, Jo Biden, had a poor night. Even though some pre-caucus Iowa polls had him as favourite he’s not being given an earthly at the moment. This inevitably has led to him being marked down in the overall nomination betting. Judging…

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